Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins – As we approach the business end of the MLB season, the matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Miami Marlins on Monday, August 5, 2024, brings together two teams with divergent fortunes. The Reds, holding a 52-56 record, face off against the struggling Marlins who are at 40-69. This game will feature Lyon Richardson on the mound for the Reds in his first major appearance this season against Miami’s Roddery Munoz, who has been battling inconsistency throughout the campaign. This context sets the stage for those looking for baseball winning picks in this encounter.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
Date & Time: Monday, August 5, 2024, at 6:40 PM ET
Location: loanDepot park
TV: ESP+
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Reds | TBD | TBD | TBD |
| Marlins | TBD | TBD | TBD |
Cincinnati Reds Analysis
This season has been very erratic on the part of Reds and it has shown in their sub-.500 performance this season. Nonetheless, they have been better with the bat; the team batting average has been .230 and they have hit 119 home runs. While their performance in this area can’t be deemed outstanding, as they posted a .304 OBP, this aspect has been quite important in the games that the team is able to get on base and score.
On the defense side, Cincinnati baseball has an ERA of 3. 88 and WHIP of 1. 25 which are decent considering the fact that a team’s pitching has been able to keep them in games. However, it will be their ability to play a defensive game that will be challenged by a Marlins side that can rise to the occasion on any given day.
Lyon Richardson from the Reds has only thrown 0.2 innings in the major leagues this season, and he is a starting pitcher. His high ERA of 27 though it was in a small number of his appearances will also be a consideration. The Reds will portray this hope as his minor league performance should earn him a more steady show in this crucial encounter.
Miami Marlins Analysis
On the other hand, the team that has not had as great a season this year, and the numbers therefore depict what the Marlins have been going through. And while hitting .237 and totaling 95 home runs, their offense has been subpar. Their OBP stands at .290, and any team that struggles in this category will struggle to score runs.
The Marlins surprisingly have done just as badly in this area; their ERA sits at 4. 51 and their WHIP is 1.36. These statistics imply that their pitchers have frequently placed the team in unfavorable conditions by allowing numerous hitters to get into the bases.
Roddery Munoz who will be starting for Miami today has a record of 2-5 and an ERA of 5.45 in 66 innings pitched. Though he has struck out 57 batters he has walked 32 and has given 19 home runs. The Marlins will expect him to sharpen up his act to counter the Reds hitting.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Against the Spread
The Reds have been fairly average against the spread on the road, boasting a record of 31-21, which suggests they sometimes exceed betting expectations away from home. Their last five games have seen a balanced 2-3 against the spread, mirroring their overall win-loss record during the same stretch.
The Marlins have mirrored the Reds in their last five games with a 2-3 record against the spread. At home, they’ve been less effective, with a near-even record of 26-27. This indicates some level of competitiveness but also a lack of consistency needed to confidently back them.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick
Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:
Moneyline: Cincinnati Reds. The Reds, despite their struggles, face a Marlins team that has been even less consistent. Richardson’s start is a question mark, but the Reds’ slightly better offensive and defensive metrics give them the edge.
Spread: Cincinnati Reds. Based on the stats analysis the Reds have better records than the Marlins.
Total: Over. Both pitchers have vulnerabilities that could lead to a higher scoring game, especially given the Marlins’ tendency to see games go over.
Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 6, Miami Marlins 4
As we wrap up, for those betting through an online sportsbook in Canada or elsewhere, the most reliable pick seems to be the moneyline favoring the Cincinnati Reds. Given both teams’ inconsistencies, this game could provide value on the Reds as they look to push toward a more respectable season finish.
