Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers – As the MLB postseason intensifies, the Cleveland Guardians take on the Detroit Tigers in what promises to be an electrifying Game 3 of the ALDS at Comerica Park. Both teams are locked at 1-1 in the series, making this matchup crucial for gaining the upper hand. This pivotal game not only holds significance in terms of momentum but also offers ripe opportunities for baseball postseason betting picks, especially with contrasting pitcher profiles slated to start.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Date & Time: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 3:08 PM ET
Location: Comerica Park
TV: TBS, ESPN
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Odds
Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
Guardians | -114 | -1.5 (+153) | 7 over (-123) |
Tigers | -104 | +1.5 (-192) | 7 under (-104) |
Cleveland Guardians Analysis
As the season progressed, the Guardians continued showing a commendable offense with a batting average that stood at .238 accompanied with huge figures of scoring 708 runs and hitting 185 home runs. Their slugging percentage although not the highest, stands at .395, which indicates that they can score when it matters most, And this kind of strategy would be very important against Detroit who has been very strong in terms of defense.
The pitching staff of Cleveland has been one of the key reasons for their success since it has a combined ERA of 3.61 and WHIP of 1.20. However, that they are able to restrict the enemy hitters to a paltry batting average of .230 is illustrative of the potent series of defense that the team possesses, which is built on strong pitching combined with good game management.
In the Guardians’ next match, Alex Cobb is a pictogram for the team. This was responsible for his 2-1 record with a 2.76 post-season ERA in the regular season as Cobb is durable and postseason experienced. His command, validated by a 1.04 WHIP, which is below the 2 mark and only 3 walks in more than 16 innings, will be critical in containing the Tigers’ hitting order.
Detroit Tigers Analysis
Detroit has emulated some of Cleveland’s performance metrics but with minor differences such as in strength and consistency. They’ve achieved a .234 batting average and a total of 682 runs, supported by 162 home runs. Their, on the other hand, on-base percentage is .300 which is not exemplary and has covered many odd situations against tough teams but has kept one or two in the running for perhaps better outcomes.
The Tigers’ pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, like that of Guardians, has a slightly better WHIP; of 1.16 showing that their pitchers tend to give up less base runners. This sort of pitching will be important in containing the Guardians’ batters more so in critical situations of the game.
When it comes to the starting rotation for the Detroit hurlers, Keider Montero is one of the most uneven arms, entering the contest with a 6-6 record and a 4.76 ERA. Given Montero’s 1.33 WHIP, he should be expected to be hit, however, this is a chance for change if he performs in the playoffs, as it may be the pressure he needs to bring out his very best.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Against the Spread
Cleveland’s recent betting trends suggest a strong inclination towards the UNDER, a pattern seen in 6 of their last 7 games. However, when playing in Detroit, the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 encounters, an interesting anomaly to consider. Their 5-2 straight-up record in recent games against Detroit shows their capability to handle pressure away from home.
Conversely, Detroit has also favored the UNDER in their recent outings, with 6 of their last 8 games falling below the line. At home, this trend is even more pronounced, with the UNDER hitting in 8 of their last 10 games. However, similar to Cleveland, when facing the Guardians at home, the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick
Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:
Moneyline: Detroit Tigers (-104). Despite Cobb’s strong stats, Montero’s potential for a high-stakes rebound and Detroit’s solid home record tip the scales slightly in their favor.
Spread: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+153). The Guardians’ offensive capability and Detroit’s fluctuating performances might just give Cleveland the edge needed to cover the spread.
Total: Over 7 (-123). Given the historical OVER trend when these teams clash in Detroit, combined with the high stakes of the game, expecting a higher-scoring affair seems reasonable.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5, Cleveland Guardians 4
As we delve deeper into the MLB playoffs, sports betting in Canada and beyond is heating up. Today’s matchup provides a tantalizing prospect for both seasoned and novice bettors, with the Tigers’ slight edge on the moneyline being a particularly intriguing bet. However, considering the trends and potential for a tightly contested match, the over on the total also presents a solid opportunity for value.