Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres 6/15/23 – As MLB betting analysts, we eagerly anticipate the thrilling MLB showdown on Thursday as the Cleveland Guardians take on the San Diego Padres at Petco Park. Our focus turns to the starting pitchers for this game, where Logan Allen will represent the Guardians, while Yu Darvish will lead the charge for the Padres.
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres
Date & Time: Thursday, June 15, 2023, at 8:40 PM ET
Location: Petco Park
TV: MLBN
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres 6/15/23 Betting Odds
Guardians
Moneyline: +147
Spread: +1.5 (-164)
Total: 8 over (-128)
Padres
Moneyline: -175
Spread: -1.5 (+117)
Total: 8 under (-110)
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians will rely on their offense to generate runs against a formidable Padres pitching staff. Their current batting average stands at 0.242, and there is room for improvement in hitting consistency; their 43 homers from this season demonstrate this power-hitting potential and pose a formidable challenge to any Padres’ pitching staff.
Starting pitcher Logan Allen of the Guardians will take to the mound against the Padres. Boasting an impressive win-loss record of 3-2, Allen has shown promise and is capable of keeping his team competitive with an ERA of 3.31 and an outstanding WHIP of 1.39 through nine starts this season. Additionally, Allen has shown remarkable strikeout potential, garnering 51 strikeouts in 51.2 innings pitched, highlighting his swing-and-miss potential and swingout capacity. His solid performance should help hold back Padres’ potency against their potent offense.
San Diego Padres enter this game as clear favorites due to their impressive offensive prowess. Their impressive batting average of 0.317 indicates their consistent ability to make solid contact and advance runners on base, and their total of 77 homers this year further emphasizes their offensive production. Their lineup features both power hitters and those with high on-base percentages making them formidable at bat.
Yu Darvish will lead off for the Padres on Tuesday night. Boasting an impressive 5-4 record and an ERA/WHIP combination of 4.3/1.16, Darvish has proven his reliability within their rotation with his ability to limit opponents’ scoring opportunities with his impressive control — 74 strikeouts in 69 innings pitched as evidence of this; coupled with his pitch repertoire and command capabilities that make him a difficult matchup for any opposing lineup he faces off against. Darvish will rely on his experience and skill set the tone for Tuesday and stabilize the mound.
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres Against the Spread
The Cleveland Guardians have seen the overhit in their last four interleague road games against teams with losing records, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring games in those situations. Additionally, the under has hit in Logan Allen’s last four road starts, suggesting that his pitching performances tend to result in lower-scoring contests.
On the other hand, the San Diego Padres have shown a trend of hitting in their last five home games against left-handed starters. This indicates that the Padres’ offensive output tends to be lower when facing a left-handed pitcher at home. Furthermore, the under has hit in Yu Darvish’s last four home starts when the total has been set between 7.0 and 8.5, suggesting that games featuring Darvish at home tend to result in fewer runs being scored.
Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick
Based on the odds and team performances, here are our MLB betting picks for this matchup:
Moneyline: Padres -175
The San Diego Padres, with their strong offensive lineup, home-field advantage, and the reliable Yu Darvish on the mound, are favored to win this game. The Padres’ superior batting average and power numbers give them an edge over the Guardians.
Spread: Guardians +1.5 (-164)
While the Padres are likely to win, the Guardians have shown resilience in certain aspects, such as their ability to hit home runs. This suggests they could keep the game close and potentially cover the spread.
Total: 8 under (-128)
Both starting pitchers, Allen and Darvish, can limit runs scored. Additionally, the under has been a consistent trend in Darvish’s recent home starts. Therefore, we anticipate a game with fewer runs scored, leading to the under-hitting
Prediction: 3-4 San Diego Padres win
In the matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and the San Diego Padres, the Padres enter as the favorites with their potent offense and dominant starting pitcher, Yu Darvish. However, the Guardians’ ability to hit home runs and underdog status make them an intriguing team. As MLB betting experts, we predict a victory for the Padres, but the Guardians could make it a competitive game.
