Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Picks and Prediction for Thursday, July 11, 2024

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds – The upcoming MLB matchup between the Colorado Rockies and the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park presents intriguing possibilities for bettors, especially considering the contrasting performances of the two teams this season. For those looking for MLB free betting picks, analyzing the starting pitchers—Austin Gomber for the Rockies and Hunter Greene for the Reds—provides significant insights into potential game outcomes.

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Date & Time: Thursday, July 11, 2024, at 1:10 PM ET

Location: Great American Ball Park


Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Odds


Colorado Rockies Analysis

Concerning the attacking power, the Rockies have a batting average of .244 this season; 373 runs and 86 home runs showing quite an average attacking force. An area in which they may find opportunities for improvement is in converting hits into scoring potions; their on-base percentage of .305 and slugging percentage of .390 indicate that there is potential to increase players’ abilities to get on-base and score from hits.

Poor pitching differs from batting in that on the defensive side of the game the Rockies have not fared well; moreover having the highest team ERA of 5.47 and a WHIP of 1.53 the team has suffered from poor pitching consistency and poor control. This has often left them exposed particularly in games that their attackers do not offset for them.

This season, Austin Gomber provided a 4.47 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 94.2 innings which draws him as a choice in this match. Gomber’s capacity to deal with this game against the Reds’ lineup with similar stutterings will be essential.

Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Reds on the other hand average at .225 lower than the Rockies, they score 382 runs and 88 homeruns. They had an on-base percentage of .301 and slugging percentage of .376 which once again points at their inability to take advantage of their scores like the Rockies.

However, Cincinnati has the better pitching team with the lower team ERA of 3.84 and WHIP of 1.25. Due to this solid pitching foundation, they have been able to counter this by being able to contain opponents in games even when their batting fails to put up a good show.

Hunter Greene has been much better with the ERA of 3.45 and the WHIP of 1.14 in 104.1 innings pitched, thus, better command of the pitching mound and a better number of strikeouts (116). He has the role of controlling the tempo and the result of the match as it will be evident in his play.

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds Against the Spread

The Rockies have been displaying slightly better form of play in their latest outings; they have played 5 games out-right and spread where they emerged with 3 wins and 2 defeats. Still, their ATS record is inferior to the record in home games: 19-24 — such is the fate of the team on the road.

On the other hand, the Reds has been dominating especially at home as they can attest to the fact that they have covered in 29 of the 44 games played on the road but besides that, other records indicate the Reds have been slightly better even during the most recent streak where they have been losing 2 of the 3 and 5 of the 10 games both overall and in terms of the spread.

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Based on the trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Cincinnati Reds. Hunter Greene’s stronger pitching and the Reds’ defensive advantage make them the safer bet, especially at home.

Spread: Cincinnati Reds. Given the Rockies’ difficulties on the road and the Reds’ solid home record against the spread, Cincinnati is likely to cover.

Total: Under. Both teams have been inconsistent offensively, and with strong pitching on the Reds’ side, a lower-scoring game is expected.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 4, Colorado Rockies 2

In conclusion, the most reliable pick appears to be betting on the Reds to cover the spread. Their pitching strength, especially with Greene on the mound, and their decent home record against the spread provide a good opportunity for bettors. For those participating in Canadian best sports betting, focusing on the Reds’ defensive capabilities could yield positive returns.