Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 5, 2024

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds – This Friday, the Detroit Tigers (38-46) are set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (39-45) in what promises to be an intriguing MLB showdown at the Great American Ball Park. As the teams clash, the focus will be not just on their standings but also on their starting pitchers, which are crucial for making informed baseball betting picks. Reese Olson will be on the mound for the Tigers, boasting a respectable 3.32 ERA despite his 2-8 win-loss record. The Reds will counter with Carson Spiers, who has shown promise with a 3.13 ERA and a 2-1 record.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Date & Time: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET

Location: Great American Ball Park


Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Odds


Detroit Tigers Analysis

The Tigers are poor this season in offense and their batting average sits at a low of .228. While they have attained 641 hits and 76 home runs, they have only secured 341 runs, suggesting problems in getting the runners home. Their on-base percentage is still below .293, which would have covetously contributed to their problems in maintaining rallies.

Defensively, it has been moderate with the team having an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.22. Nonetheless, the team has displayed weaknesses which include apprehensiveness in the closing regimes as evidenced in their record. Their pitchers have earned a reasonable number of 720 strike-outs overall though they have surrendered 215 walks suggesting irrationality in some of their players on the pitchers’ mound.

Reese Olson, who is a starter for the Tigers in the game that will be played next, has compiled worse than deserved statistics. Parker ended his season with an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.20 over 89.1 innings, he has been able to contain the hitters through effectively limiting them to 81 hits and allowing 26 walks while disking out 81 of them. Olson’s good run, especially in not giving up home runs only four, will be important in this confrontation.

Cincinnati Reds Analysis

As of the offense style, the Reds are only a little better than the Tigers with the batsmen successfully striking on average .229. The total hits they have made is 626 thus they have been able to make 358 runs out of which 79 were home runs and the on base percentage was .305 can be considered as having a rather slight advantage over their rivals. It brings the slugging percentage to .376, which situates the team a little better in the aspect of power hitting compared to the Tigers.

The Reds too have been similar to the Tigers in pitching having a team ERA of 3.86 and carrying a WHIP of 1.24. Their pitchers have whiffed fewer batters (705) but have walked more (258), it must be said that this could be an exploitable area in a match up against a team prone to taking advantage of such circumstances.

Carson Spiers has been influential while appearing this season, having come up with a good ERA of 3.13, and a WHIP of 1.15 in 37.1 innings pitched. His command has been good; He has given 36 hits and 7 walks while striking out 29 batters in total. This will be crucial against the Tigers, given that Spiers does not lose his vestige of control and contains the detriment.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds Against the Spread

The Tigers have performed poorly with a 1-4 record for the last 5 games and a rather poor 0-5 record against the spread in the same time frame. They have been very poor on the road especially with a 19-24 record for the season in relation to the spread.

On the other side of the coin, the Reds have only a slightly better performance having recorded a 2-3 record in their last five games but a better 3-2 record on the spread. Notably, the team plays even better in the road games registering a 26-15 mark in terms of their ability to cover the spread, which indicates that they have a lot of value when the odd makers are setting low expectations.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick

Based on the trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Cincinnati Reds. Spiers’ effective pitching and the Reds’ relatively stronger offensive stats give them the edge at home.

Spread: Cincinnati Reds. Due to their past performances.

Total: Over. Both teams have shown a tendency towards higher-scoring games, and the pitching stats suggest there could be runs on both sides.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 5, Detroit Tigers 3

Final thoughts highlight that while the exact betting lines are still to be determined, looking at the Reds for the moneyline appears to be the most reliable pick. For those participating in top online betting in Canada or elsewhere, monitoring the lines as they become available will be key to maximizing your betting strategy for this MLB matchup.