Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady – The highly anticipated UFC Fight Night 242 features a welterweight bout between Gilbert Burns and Sean Brady, both formidable fighters in their division. Gilbert Burns, a veteran with a record of 22-7-0, will look to rebound after a recent loss, while Sean Brady, at 16-1-0, seeks to continue his upward trajectory. As both competitors gear up for this clash, the fight promises intense action, showcasing their grappling and striking skills. With UFC free expert picks favoring Sean Brady, this matchup holds significant interest for fans and bettors alike.
Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady
When: Saturday, September 7, 2024, at 7:00 PM ET
Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
TV: ESPN+
Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady Betting Odds
| Moneyline | |
| Burns | +120 |
| Brady | -163 |
Gilbert Burns Analysis
Gilbert Burns as “Durinho” definitely comes into this fight with an impressive record of 22-7-0. As for Burns, grappling is his strong area, and such is due to his passion for the art of Brazilian Jiu-jitsu, which he has been able to bring to the octagon. On average, Burns is effective over fifteen minutes in the octagon with about 2.24 takedowns and 0.5 submissions in every fight, hence making him a dangerous grappler as well. In the striking area, Burns also succeeds, as evidenced by 48% accuracy and 3.29 places per minute of significant strikes landed. But his striking defense, an absorbing average of 3.42 strikes per minute, stands at 50%, allowing for concerns about how Brady will approach him.
In his last appearance, Burns fought Della Maddalena, suffering a bad loss. This however places Burns in a position where he is required to fight back and adjust to the pressure that Brady has been applying. Through the fight, the biggest challenge for Burns will probably be utilizing the takedowns to end the fight and subsequently submit Brady while ensuring that there is some striking offense that will keep Brady busy.
Sean Brady Analysis
In his last fight, Sean Brady (16-1-0) caused an upset by defeating Gastelum, defeating the former obvious favorite, leading to UFC Fight Night 242. The interest in Brady is well-founded as he possesses a well-rounded skill set in terms of striking and grappling. Brady’s grappling numbers are also worth noting as he scored a total of 3.29 takedowns throughout the fights in a span of 15 minutes with a shot accuracy of 57% and competing defense with an 87% of 3 takedown attempts. Thus, in this fight, Brady will be able to dictate the pace of the fight through grappling.
Brady lands on average 3.77 significant strikes a minute and has a 53% accuracy, which is one of the best figures, being just a little behind the fight with Burns. Brady’s actual striking defense numbers are also better as he only gets hit with 3.55 strikes a minute with 61% of the striking defense. From the stats provided, it can be stated that Brady can force Burns to play defense being outclassed in the grappling or striking arena.
Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady Stats
| Burns | Brady | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 22-7-0 | 16-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:11 | 12:24 |
| Height | 5′ 10″ | 5′ 10″ |
| Weight | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach | 71″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 3.29 | 3.77 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 53% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.42 | 3.55 |
| Defense | 54% | 61% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 2.24 | 3.29 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 38% | 57% |
| Takedown Defense | 50% | 87% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.5 | 1.2 |
Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady Betting Picks
Based on the analysis of both fighters, Sean Brady had the advantage before entering UFC Fight Night 242. The fact that he has better grappling and a more efficient striking defense means he is able to control the distance and limit the effectiveness of Burns. Burns is always a threat because of his submission game but owing to Brady’s wrestling, he won’t have to deal with a Burgos on top of him and hammering away at him, which is why Burns’ chances of winning the clinch must be slim.
The betting odds starting from Brady is at -163 while Burns is the betting odds underdog at +120. When considering Brady’s definition of skill and what is going for him this time, it is only fair to say that he is the safer bet in This fight. Burns, rain or shine, he could still latch on a submission hold and do some notable damages but that would be fishing in troubled waters considering the array of disadvantages he will have to deal with.
Free Pick: Sean Brady -163
In conclusion, with his well-rounded game and ability to control the action, Sean Brady is the smarter pick for this fight. His grappling superiority, coupled with solid striking, makes him the favorite to secure the win. Fans and bettors looking for Canadian best sports betting opportunities will likely find Brady a strong option in this exciting welterweight bout.
