New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, September 18, 2024

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners – As the Major League Baseball season heads into the home stretch, the New York Yankees (88-63) prepare to square off against the Seattle Mariners (77-74) in a riveting matchup at T-Mobile Park. The Yankees want to extend their dominance with southpaw Nestor Cortes on the mound, while the Mariners count on right-hander Bryce Miller to continue his solid season. This game isn’t just a clash of teams; it’s a testament to the thrilling sports betting opportunities. It is particularly interesting for sports betting in Canada, where the market has seen exponential growth.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners

Date & Time: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: AMZP, ESPN, MLB.TV

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Yankees-123-1.5 (+134)7.5 over (-120)
Mariners+105+1.5 (-167)7.5 under (-108)

New York Yankees Analysis

This season, the Yankees’ batting order has been quite effective as they have logged a batting average of .250 and an impressive 222 home runs, which shows how many power hitters they are. Their slugging percentage currently stands at .431, which is in line with a batting order that is not just scoring home runs. Still, also getting important extra-base hits T. They are the most effective team in the AL in terms of line up and in the ways of consistency to score on the plate.

As for the defensive side of the game, the New Yorkers had some ups and downs. The core of the pitching staff got the job done, lowering their team ERA to 3.76 while their WHIP sits at 1.25, which is not bad but leaves a lot to be desired, especially in decisive moments. The bullpen has been highly relied upon for most of their games since they are called upon to protect the leads late in games, a task they have executed better than most of their competitors.

Today’s starter, Nestor Cortes, is 9-10 with a 3.9 earned run average. Even if his ERA is fairly high he still did a respectable 1.15 WHIP and has provided 156 strikeouts in 168.1 IP. His seven walks and home runs in over 20 innings of cumulative baseball will be put to test by the Mariners, which can ruin a pitcher’s day.

Seattle Mariners Analysis

The Mariners have proven to be more effective defensively as compared to offensively, posting a lower team batting average of .222 with 171 homers. Further, their on-base percentages stand at .309 which depicts a trend of failing out in the later stages of rallying which might not work in their favor against the Yankees’ pitchers. Still, they have had moments of offensive brilliance in the last few games which they will have to build on if they are to stand a chance against the New York’s pitching.

It has been observed that even with the inefficiencies of the batting order so far, the performance of the cloud above the mound has been better with a team ERA of 3.54 and WHIP of 1.08 which are among the best in the league. That pitching staff performs this well owing to their stat of allowing hitters to a .221 batting average, thereby preventing them from scoring any runs from the opposing sides.

This season Bryce Miller is a name to look out for as he impressively stands with an 11-8 score and an impressive 3.12 ERA. He had great command of his pitches as seen from his striking out 158 batters and recording a WHIP of 0.99. His ability to limit walks and home runs will be crucial against a Mariners team that can exploit any pitcher’s mistakes.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Against the Spread

The Yankees have been a powerhouse, especially noted in their recent games where they’ve gone 5-1 SU in their last 6 games. Particularly against Seattle, they’ve enjoyed historical success with a 12-5 SU record in their last 17 games at T-Mobile Park. The trend towards the UNDER in recent games suggests a strong performance from pitchers and a potential for lower scoring games.

Conversely, Seattle’s recent OVER trend, especially at home, clashes with New York’s pattern. Despite struggling historically against the Yankees at home, Seattle’s 8-4 SU in their last 12 games shows they have the momentum and the capability to challenge the Yankees, especially with Miller’s recent form.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: New York Yankees (-123). Despite the close betting lines, the Yankees’ powerful lineup and their historical dominance over the Mariners make them the safer bet.

Spread: Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-167). Given the Mariners’ improved play and the Yankees’ occasional pitching woes, taking Seattle with the spread offers a cushion that might prove beneficial.

Total: Under 7.5 (-108). Both pitchers have demonstrated the ability to control games, and with recent trends showing a propensity for lower-scoring games, the under seems prudent.

Predicted Score: New York Yankees 4, Seattle Mariners 3

Final thoughts: While the moneyline favors the Yankees, the most reliable pick here appears to be the under on the total. Both pitchers are capable of turning in strong performances, and recent trends support a tighter, lower-scoring affair that aligns well with strategic bets like free MLB picks focusing on pitching duels.