San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – The MLB season has built up to this thrilling clash at Dodger Stadium. The San Diego Padres, boasting a commendable 90-66 record, face off against the formidable Los Angeles Dodgers, who currently lead with a 93-63 standing. This matchup isn’t just a regular season game; it’s a glimpse into potential postseason dynamics, especially with standout pitchers like Michael King and Landon Knack taking the mound. Keep an eye on our latest MLB picks, as this game could set the tone for the playoffs.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date & Time: Tuesday, September 24, 2024 at 10:10 PM ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: ESPN, MLB.TV
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Padres | +107 | +1.5 (-185) | 8.5 over (-127) |
| Dodgers | -127 | -1.5 (+147) | 8.5 under (-101) |
San Diego Padres Analysis
The Padres have prepared to rake this season with a .265 batting average and a scoring haul of 739 runs. This offensive depth is thanks to 185 home runs and a slugging AVG of .422, showing that they can hit and score when needed. The on-base percentage is the lowest out of the three but .326 is also respectable as it shows some level of importance to getting runs on base and wiggle room to score.
On the downside, the Padres have continued to shoulder the burden of mound work steadily, with a team ERA of 3.84 and WHIP of 1.21. So, while they aren’t the most intimidating pitching core, their capabilities are enough to outlast many teams, especially given their .237 opponent batting average, which shows that their opponent batters do not often find success on hits.
Looking at their starter, it has a record of 12-9 for Michael King, who achieved a 3.04 ERA and fanned 198 batters in 168.2 innings pitched. King’s impact on the game cannot be significantly underestimated in this match. It is impressive in its own right how King was able to pitch so many innings and yet only surrendered 17 home runs and 61 walks against fierce competition and high pressure.
Los Angeles Dodgers Analysis
Offensively, the Dodgers are not far behind with a team batting average of .255 though they top the charts with 803 runs scored this season. Their power-hitting, as demonstrated by the 225 home runs, makes them most formidable as they maintained a slugging average of .444. The team’s on-base percentage at .332 is even to the one by the Padres, which points to relatively improved ratcheting of plate discipline aiming to maximize scoring situations.
The team has pitching statistics that are almost similar to those of opponents, with the team earning an average running of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.23. They have demonstrated that they can get opponents out with 1337 strikeouts, but have also had more walks than the San Diego Padres. In this case, it can be a double-edged sword in this game that is bound to be high tension and pressure.
Landon Knack is their starting pitcher whose standing is not as great as that of king but still has a decent record with 3.39 earned run allowance and 61 strikeouts in 61 innings. What is even more impressive is the 1.07 WHIP that he posted which means he kept the opposing team base runners to a minimum, which will be essential in containing the San Diego Padres’ potent offense.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Against the Spread
San Diego shows an impressive recent trend of 8-1 SU in their last 9 games, demonstrating a solid form as they head into this match. Their record against the Dodgers is particularly strong, with a 5-1 SU in their last 6 meetings, suggesting a psychological edge. Additionally, the trend towards the UNDER in recent Padres games indicates their pitching strength could play a significant role.
Conversely, the Dodgers have an OVER trend in their recent games, including 8 of their last 9. However, they have struggled against the Padres at home, with a 1-4 SU record in their last 5 matchups. This trend might affect the confidence of the Dodgers and their fanbase, making this an intriguing aspect to consider for betting.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick
Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:
Moneyline: San Diego Padres (+107). The Padres have shown they can dominate the Dodgers, particularly in recent matchups, making them a value pick at plus money.
Spread: San Diego Padres +1.5 (-185). Given their games’ close nature and recent performance trends, taking the Padres with the extra run for insurance is a prudent choice.
Total: UNDER 8.5 (-101). Both teams have strong pitching, and recent trends suggest a tighter, more tactical game which could limit total runs scored.
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4, Los Angeles Dodgers 2
The most reliable pick appears to be the Padres on the Moneyline. Given their recent dominance over the Dodgers and the solid pitching matchup, this seems like a smart bet. Always ensure you get the best value by checking odds at the best online sportsbook in Canada before placing your bet.
