Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats 11-11-23 NCAAF Week 11 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats 11/11/23 – As the crisp air of November heralds the thick of college football’s regular season, the Alabama Crimson Tide, standing tall with an 8-1 record, are set to clash with the Kentucky Wildcats, who hold a respectable 6-3 standing, in Week 11 of NCAAF action. This SEC matchup promises to be an exciting display of collegiate football prowess and a pivotal moment for fans and bettors alike who are on the hunt for NCAAF free picks

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Date & Time: Saturday, November 11 at 12:00 PM ET

Location: Kroger Field


Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats 11/11/23 Betting Odds

Alabama -424-9.5 (-115)49 over (-110)
Kentucky+292+9.5 (-115)49 under (-110)

Alabama Crimson Tide Analysis

The Crimson Tide’s offensive arsenal has been a spectacle to behold this season. Under the assured direction of quarterback Jalen Milroe, who boasts 1836 passing yards and a 64.8% completion rate, Alabama has maneuvered through defenses with calculated precision. Milroe’s notable 10.4 yards per pass attempt and 13 passing touchdowns speak to an offensive strategy that isn’t afraid to take risks downfield. Jase McClellan, the versatile running back, has grounded the attack with 632 rushing yards, providing balance with his 4.6 yards per carry. Meanwhile, Jermaine Burton has been a standout wide receiver, averaging an impressive 20.7 yards per catch, showcasing the explosive potential in Alabama’s receiving corps.

On defense, Alabama has often been just as formidable, although not without its vulnerabilities. While they’ve managed to assert dominance in most of their outings, evident in their 7-0 SU run, they’ll need to be cautious of the Wildcats’ capacity to surprise. Attention to their pass rush and secondary coverage will be critical to prevent Kentucky’s key playmakers from gaining traction.

Kentucky Wildcats Analysis

Kentucky’s offensive drive has been no less impressive, particularly with quarterback Devin Leary at the helm. Leary has thrown for 1905 yards, connecting for 18 touchdowns. Despite a slightly lower completion percentage of 57.4%, he’s demonstrated poise in the pocket, although the offensive line will need to be at its best to stave off the Alabama defense, considering the 13 sacks they’ve allowed. Ray Davis has been the workhorse for the Wildcats on the ground, amassing 903 rushing yards with a notable 6.1 average per carry. His nine touchdowns underscore Kentucky’s red zone effectiveness. Tayvion Robinson is another weapon at wide receiver, with his 462 receiving yards and 14.9 yards per reception signaling that he can break open the game at any moment.

Kentucky’s defense has its work cut out against the potent Alabama offense. To emerge victorious, they’ll need to focus on limiting big plays and tightening their coverage to disrupt Milroe’s rhythm. As they are 5-2 SU in their last 7 home games, their home-field advantage at Kroger Field could prove to be a significant factor.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats Against the Spread

Alabama’s 5-1 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games paints them as a reliable bet for those looking to capitalize on trends. Furthermore, the total going OVER in 4 of their last 5 games indicates a tendency towards high-scoring affairs, a trend that aligns with their offensive prowess.

Conversely, Kentucky’s strong performance cannot be overlooked, especially considering the total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 6 games, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the West Division. These stats highlight Kentucky’s capacity to outperform expectations, particularly in high-stakes divisional matchups.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kentucky Wildcats Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Alabama -424

The Crimson Tide’s overall dominance and superior track record this season make them the logical pick on the moneyline, despite the short odds.

Spread: Kentucky +9.5 (-115)

Given Kentucky’s solid ATS record and their ability to keep games close, especially at home, taking the Wildcats with the points is an attractive option.

Total: 49 over (-110)

With both teams showing a consistent ability to surpass their game totals, and considering their offensive talents, betting the over seems like the smart play.

Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 31, Kentucky Wildcats 24

When weighing the options for Canadian sports betting, the most reliable pick appears to be the Kentucky Wildcats to cover the spread. With a spirited offensive unit capable of keeping pace with Alabama’s scoring and a competitive edge at home, Kentucky is well-positioned to make this game closer than the spread suggests. While the moneyline favors Alabama for the outright win, the Wildcats’ knack for covering in high-pressure situations cannot be underestimated, making them an enticing pick for bettors seeking value.