Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10-3-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10/3/23 – As the MLB season heads into its thrilling climax, the Arizona Diamondbacks face off against the Milwaukee Brewers in a contest that promises high-octane action. With the Brewers having the upper hand in terms of season standings, it’s crucial to highlight the performance of both starting pitchers. Brandon Pfaadt of the Diamondbacks, despite his unfavorable season record, will be looking to prove his doubters wrong. On the other side, the Brewers’ ace, Corbin Burnes, with his commendable stats, is geared up to solidify their dominant position. If you’re looking for a free baseball pick, this matchup is where your attention should be!

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Date & Time: Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 7:08 PM ET

Location: American Family Field


Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10/3/23 Betting Odds

Diamondbacks+158+1.5 (-152)7.5 over (-125)
Brewers-173-1.5 (+123)7.5 under (+105)

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Diamondbacks, despite their inconsistencies, have demonstrated their ability to be a formidable force on the offensive front. Their batting average of .250, combined with a whopping 746 runs from 1359 hits, serves as a testament to their batting prowess. The 166 home runs they’ve belted out this season reveal a squad that isn’t afraid to go big when the situation demands. Their on-base percentage of .322 further demonstrates their capacity to keep the scoreboard ticking and pile on the pressure.

On the defensive side, there are a few chinks in the armor. The team’s ERA of 4.48 is reflective of the challenges their pitching roster has encountered throughout the season. The WHIP of 1.32 suggests room for improvement in restricting the opponents from getting on base and making significant scoring strides. Their opponent batting average of .251 means the Diamondbacks’ pitching lineup will need to tighten their laces to curtail the Brewers’ batters.

Brandon Pfaadt, the starting pitcher for this crucial face-off, has had a season marked with challenges. A record of 3-9 and a 5.72 ERA over 96 innings doesn’t inspire overwhelming confidence. Yet, he’s a player with potential. With 109 hits, 94 strikeouts, and 26 walks this season, Pfaadt will be motivated to harness his skills to turn the tide in favor of the Diamondbacks.

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Brewers have showcased an interesting blend of strategy and execution this season. With a batting average of .240, they have managed to compile 728 runs from 1291 hits, exhibiting that they can deliver when it matters. Their 165 home runs, although just a notch below the Diamondbacks, indicate that they too have hitters who can change the complexion of a game in an instant. The on-base percentage of .319 and slugging percentage of .385 paint the picture of a balanced team that believes in both singles and boundaries.

Defensively, the Brewers have been a notch above many. Their ERA of 3.71 coupled with a WHIP of 1.19 underscores a pitching unit that has consistently held its own against challenging opponents. When you factor in their opponent batting average of .226, it’s evident that the Brewers have been quite stringent, making it tough for batters to find their rhythm.

Corbin Burnes is the Brewers’ trump card. With a commendable 10-8 record, a stellar 3.39 ERA, and an impressive WHIP of 1.07 over 193.2 innings, he embodies the spirit of Milwaukee’s defensive prowess. A total of 200 strikeouts against 66 walks this season further accentuates his dominance. Burnes’ presence on the mound promises a tough time for the Diamondbacks’ hitters, and his performance will undoubtedly play a pivotal role in determining the game’s outcome.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Against the Spread

The Diamondbacks’ recent form, being 1-4 SU in their last 5 games, does raise eyebrows. More so, their struggle on the road, with a 3-6 SU in their last 9 games, could be a point of contention.

Contrastingly, the Brewers have been in sublime form, standing 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. Their dominance at home, marked by a 14-4 SU in their last 18 games against Arizona, reinforces their stronghold.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Brewers -168

The Milwaukee Brewers consistent performance, especially at home, combined with Burnes’ brilliant form, makes them the favorites.

Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+123)

Given the Milwaukee Brewers recent dominance over the Diamondbacks, especially at home, backing them to cover the spread seems reasonable.

Total: 7.5 under (+105) 

Considering both teams’ recent trends and the quality of the starting pitchers, an under 7 game seems likely.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4, Arizona Diamondbacks 2

To wrap up, while both teams have their strengths, the Brewers’ recent form and their dominance at home give them the edge. For those involved in sports betting in Canada, putting faith in the Brewers, especially with Burnes on the mound, seems like the most reliable pick.