Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10-12-23 MLB NLDS Game 4 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/12/23 – Philadelphia Phillies host Atlanta Braves for Game 4 of the National League Division Series this Thursday (Oct 12). Philadelphia currently leads this series 2-1; thus making this game an important one. While Atlanta led the National League with an impressive 104-58 record, Philadelphia came in close second at 90-72 – both teams boasted quality starting pitchers with Spencer Strider starting for Atlanta and Ranger Suarez being used by Philly – making this matchup essential viewing for anyone seeking expert MLB picks.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Date & Time: Thursday, October 12, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET

Location: Citizens Bank Park


Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Odds

Braves-142-1.5 (+110)8.5 over -117
Phillies+130+1.5 (-130)8.5 under -103

Atlanta Braves Analysis

This season has been an impressive showcase of Atlanta Braves offensive prowess. Their batting average of 0.276 has enabled them to consistently deliver at bat, scoring 947 runs off 1543 hits for 947 total runs scored from just under 1500 hits with 307 homers hitting by the power hitters on their team resulting in 307 homers being batted out over time resulting in 307 home runs being hit overall and an outstanding 0.501 slugging percentage showing how the Braves know exactly when it matters most and deliver game-winning hits when needed most.

Defensively, the Braves have faced challenges throughout their season with an 4.14 ERA and 1.3 WHIP that reflect difficulties they have had against even top hitters such as Stephen Strasburg. Yet their opponent batting average of just 0.245 shows they can stifle even top opponents’ hitting abilities effectively. While they may exhibit weaknesses during tight games, their fielding and strategic play-calling often suffices in helping secure victories.

Spencer Strider has been an extraordinary pitcher this season for Atlanta. Boasting an astounding 20-5 win/loss record with an ERA and WHIP of 3.86 for 186.2 innings pitched, and 281 strikeouts to his name he is one of the league’s premier pitchers and an invaluable asset in this key matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Phillies have displayed both resilience and determination throughout this season. Averaging 0.256 at bat, their batters have produced 796 runs from 1417 hits with an accumulated batting average of 0.256; further highlighting their lineup’s flexibility is their 220 homers and 0.438 slugging percentage that demonstrate that they can produce explosive innings when necessary.

Phillies stats illustrate an impressive defensive unit. Boasting a 4.02 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, they’ve proven more efficient than their Atlanta rivals; plus their significantly lower opponent batting average of 0.24 displays their ability to dominate opponents on offense – which has often proven the difference-maker when games become tight contests.

Ranger Suarez, starting pitcher for the Phillies, brings a dynamic blend of skill and determination. Although his overall record stands at 4-6 W-L, his performances often outshone expectations; 4.18 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over 125 innings were notable while his 119 strikeouts against 13 homeruns indicated that Suarez can be an impactful presence when given his chance.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread

The Atlanta Braves have seen the total score go OVER in 14 of their last 19 games. Recently, they’re 4-4, both against their opponent (Phillies) and in general on the road; recent matches in Philadelphia suggest their games may lead to high-scoring affairs.

The Phillies, on the other hand, have been on an incredible run, going 5-1 SU over their past six games and 9-1 at home over this stretch. Matchups against Atlanta often yielded high scoring matches at home – which gives Philly fans hope of an upset this time around!

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies +130. Given their recent form, especially at home, the Phillies have a slight edge.

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-130). The Phillies have been strong recently, and their home advantage can’t be ignored.

Total: Over 8.5 -117. Recent trends, especially when these two teams clash, suggest a higher scoring game.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 4, Philadelphia Phillies 6.

As both teams bring numerous strengths to the table, Philadelphia stands out due to their recent home form and is considered the favorite in Canadian best sports betting – they should be selected on either Moneyline or Spread as this would likely give more reliable returns in this matchup.