Baylor vs. Duke – In a highly anticipated NCAA Men’s Basketball showdown, the Baylor Bears (9-1) face off against the Duke Blue Devils (7-3) on Wednesday, December 20, 2023. As we delve into the specifics of this matchup, we’ll explore the strengths and strategies of each team, including a focus on key players who could tip the scales. For fans and bettors alike, this game is a prime opportunity to explore free NCAAB picks, as two of the nation’s top teams clash in what promises to be a memorable encounter.
Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils
Date & Time: Wednesday, December 20, 2023, at 7:00 PM ET
Location: Madison Square Garden
TV: ESPN
Baylor vs. Duke Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Baylor | TBD | TBD | TBD |
| Duke | TBD | TBD | TBD |
Baylor Bears Analysis
The Bears have one of the most efficient offenses in college basketball, averaging over 88 points per game on 51.7% shooting. Led by guard Ja’Kobe Walter, who is averaging 14.3 points on 41.2% from the field, Baylor has scored at least 74 points in every game this season. The Bears move the ball extremely well too, racking up 16.3 assists per contest.
In addition to their fast-paced and high-scoring attack, Baylor dominates the glass and forces turnovers. They are averaging 38 rebounds per game, including 13 offensive boards, while forcing nearly 13 giveaways per contest. This ability to create extra possessions and second chance opportunities gives their offense even more chances to pour in points.
However, Baylor has been vulnerable at times on the defensive end, allowing over 70 points per game. They give up a high number of three-point attempts and have had issues containing dribble penetration. This could spell trouble against an offensive juggernaut like Duke. The Bears will need to sharpen their perimeter defense and lock in on closeouts.
Duke Blue Devils Analysis
Led by standout freshman Kyle Filipowski, Duke features one of the best frontcourts in the nation. The Blue Devils are scoring over 81 points per game while dominating on the glass, averaging 36 boards per contest. Duke has won seven of its last nine games, including a statement victory over Ohio State.
In addition to Filipowski’s strong play, Duke has been powered by veteran guard Jeremy Roach. He provides steady backcourt play, facilitating for others while committing few mistakes. Roach averages just 1.6 turnovers per game while pitching in nearly 14 points and 3 assists per contest. He will be crucial in breaking Baylor’s pressure and initiating Duke’s offense.
While Duke scores in bunches, the team’s field goal percentage defense ranks outside the top 225 nationally. The Blue Devils are surrendering high percentage looks both inside and from long range. Improving their perimeter defense will be key against a Baylor team loaded with shooters. If Duke can limit clean three-point looks, they should have the edge on their home floor.
Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils Against the Spread
Baylor is known to thrive in the first half of games, regularly hitting 1H Game Total Over in 21 of 34 games in recent memory and 8 out of 12 away game in which they hit Game Total Over as evidence of high scoring outside their home court.
Duke boasts an excellent record at home, hitting both the Moneyline and 1H Moneyline 13 of 14 times during their last 17 home games and hitting Game Total Under in 19 out of 34 matches, signaling their defensive approach.
Baylor Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils Free Pick
Based on trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:
Moneyline: Duke Blue Devils. Duke’s strong home record and defensive consistency give them the edge in this matchup.
Spread: Baylor Bears. Baylor’s offensive prowess and ability to start strong could cover the
spread.
Total: Over. Both teams have shown a tendency towards high-scoring games, making the Over a viable pick.
Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 82, Duke Blue Devils 79
In conclusion, while both teams present strong cases, the Duke Blue Devils, with their balanced approach and strong home game record, might offer the most reliable bet. However, for bettors exploring the best betting sites in Canada, it’s worth noting that Baylor’s explosive offense could lead to surprises, making this game an intriguing prospect for NCAA basketball enthusiasts.
