Bills vs. Chargers NFL Week 16 Betting Picks and Prediction for Dec. 23, 2023

Bills vs. Chargers – NFL Week 16 brings an intriguing showdown as the Buffalo Bills (8-6), siting at SoFi Stadium, travel to face Los Angeles Chargers (5-9). Expect this Saturday night game at SoFi Stadium to be an electric clash – as both sides look to increase their playoff credentials by competing fiercely, fans and bettors are keenly eyeing NFL picks today for insight into this potentially explosive battle!

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Date & Time: Saturday, December 23, 2023, at 8:00 PM ET

Location: SoFi Stadium


Bills vs. Chargers Betting Odds

Bills-700-11 (-110)42.5 over (-110)
Chargers +520+11 (-110)42.5 under (-110)

Buffalo Bills Analysis

Led by elite quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills boast one of the NFL’s top passing attacks. Allen is averaging 252.9 passing yards per contest, with 26 touchdowns against 14 interceptions. His 66.3% completion rate allows him to efficiently move the chains both through the air and on the ground. Allen has also rushed for over 500 yards this season. His top target has been wide receiver Stefon Diggs, who has logged 1041 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns. Diggs averages 11.4 yards per catch and has developed into one of the premier route runners in the league. He constantly gets open, even against blanket coverage. The Bills do an excellent job protecting Allen, as he’s only been sacked 19 times behind a stout offensive line.

Defensively, the Bills have been decent but not spectacular. They’ve allowed the most total yards, while ranking 15th in scoring defense. The Bills have been vulnerable against the pass, ranking just 20th in that category. Opposing quarterbacks have too often found open targets in Buffalo’s secondary. The Bills have also struggled to consistently stop the run, giving up 4.4 yards per carry. They desperately need to generate more pressure and turnovers to get off the field. 

Los Angeles Chargers Analysis

Justin Herbert, the Chargers feature an explosive passing game that gains 241.1 yards per outing. Herbert has tossed 20 touchdowns to just 7 picks, while completing 65.1% of his throws. He has developed superb chemistry with top receiver Keenan Allen. Despite missing three games, Allen has still compiled 1243 receiving yards on a stellar 11.5 yards per reception. His precise route running allows him to thrive gaining yards after the catch. While the aerial assault has thrived, the ground game has floundered. The Chargers rank dead last in rushing at just 84.3 yards per game.

Defensively, LA ranks in the bottom third of the NFL in both yards and points allowed. They’ve been gashed against the run, ranking 31st while permitting 156.5 rushing yards each week. The Chargers have struggled defeating blocks and filling gaps consistently. Generating sacks and turnovers has also been a struggle, as LA has produced just 21 takeaways. The Chargers secondary has held up reasonably well, but the defense lacks enough playmakers to get key stops. For any chance at an upset, the front seven must find a way to get more penetration and limit Buffalo’s multi-dimensional attack.

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers Against the Spread

The Bills have struggled recently against the spread and have seen the total go UNDER in most of their games. This trend suggests their games are lower-scoring than expected, which could play a role in this matchup.

Conversely, the Chargers have also struggled ATS and have seen the total go UNDER in their recent games, indicating a potential low-scoring affair. Their history of success against Buffalo, especially at home, adds an interesting dimension to the betting analysis.

Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Buffalo Bills (-700). Buffalo stands out as the safer bet despite their higher odds.

Spread: Los Angeles Chargers +11 (-110). The Chargers’ track record at home against Buffalo combined with their recent struggles against the spread indicates they could cover.

Total: Under 42.5 (-110). Given both teams’ recent efforts at playing low-scoring contests, picking UNDER could be wise.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 24, Los Angeles Chargers 17

In summary, while the Bills are likely to win, the Chargers’ ability to keep the game close at home makes them a good pick against the spread. For those engaged in Canadian sportsbook betting, this game presents intriguing options, with the UNDER on total points being the most compelling bet based on current trends and team performances.