Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals 11-5-23 NFL Week 9 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals 11/5/23 – As we move further into NFL season 9, we can expect an epic showdown between the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals. Both teams have shown impressive performances thus far; with Buffalo leading slightly in wins at 5-3 against 4-3 for Cincinnati. Set for Sunday November 5th, this matchup promises an intense battle that should capture those looking for expert NFL picks.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Date & Time: Sunday, November 5, 2023, at 8:20 PM ET

Location: Paycor Stadium


Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals 11/5/23 Betting Odds

Bills-125-1.5 (-115)46.5 over (-119)
Bengals+105+1.5 (-108)46.5 under (-103)

Buffalo Bills Analysis

The Bills have shown their offensive prowess all season under Josh Allen, their dynamic quarterback. Allen’s outstanding 71.7% completion rate across 8 games stands as proof of his accuracy and command over the field, while Stefon Diggs, one of his wide receivers who has become one of the premier players this season with 748 yards from 8 games with an average 11.7 yards per reception average, has become Allen’s go-to target during high pressure situations. Meanwhile James Cook provides depth and unpredictability in their ground game offering yet another dimension which makes up this formidable unit.

On defense, Buffalo needs to examine themselves more critically. Recent games have exposed gaps in their secondary, which has occasionally allowed big plays. Red-zone defense may also benefit from improvement. When up against an opponent like Cincinnati with flashes of offensive brilliance such as Burrow’s brilliance on offense, their defense must anticipate plays, break rhythms and prevent him from finding his comfort zone to ensure victory for Buffalo.

Cincinnati Bengals Analysis

Joe Burrow, though relatively inexperienced in NFL play, has displayed maturity and prowess belying his age. With an astounding 66.3% completion rate over 7 games and 10 touchdowns to his name, Burrow is quickly emerging as an asset on offense for Cincinnati. In tandem with Ja’Marr Chase (656 receiving yards), who can exploit even small defensive gaps through conversion targets into tangible gains; combined with Joe Mixon’s consistent performances on the ground, their offense offers a well-rounded approach.

Defense remains a top concern for Cincinnati. Facing off against Josh Allen and his squad means the Bengals’ secondary will be put through their paces; though there have been standout performances here and there. Their defensive line must increase pressure to limit Allen’s pass picks while being proactive by reading plays ahead and forcing turnovers could tip the scales in Cincinnati’s favor in this high-stakes encounter.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Against the Spread

Buffalo’s recent betting trends indicate some challenges, especially being 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and struggling against Cincinnati in recent encounters. On the road, Buffalo’s games have predominantly favored the UNDER, with the total going UNDER in 9 of their last 11 away games.

Cincinnati, on the other hand, boasts a commendable 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games. Interestingly, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 11 games when playing at home against Buffalo, hinting at potentially high-scoring encounters at Paycor Stadium. However, it’s worth noting Cincinnati’s challenges against teams in the AFC, being 1-6 ATS.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Bills -125 

Given the Bills’ overall performance and offensive strengths, they are highly favored in this match.

Spread: Bengals +1.5 (-108) 

Considering the recent matchups and the Bengals’ commendable home record, they are favored in this era.

Total: 46.5 under (-103) 

Given both teams’ recent trends leaning towards the UNDER, it is the suggested pick.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 24, Cincinnati Bengals 21

In conclusion, while the Bills are slightly favored to win, it wouldn’t be a surprise if the Bengals put up a strong fight, especially with their home advantage. For those into live betting in Canada, keeping a keen eye on in-game developments will be crucial. Given the stats, the most reliable pick would be the UNDER 46.5, as both teams have consistently trended towards lower-scoring games.