Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 18 Betting Picks and Prediction for Sunday, January 7, 2024

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 18 – In a highly anticipated NFL Week 18 matchup, the Buffalo Bills (10-6) face off against the Miami Dolphins (11-5) on Sunday. The game, set to be played at Hard Rock Stadium and aired on NBC, is drawing substantial interest, particularly among users of Canadian best sportsbook services. With both teams showing strong records this season, this game is critical for their playoff positioning.

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins

Date & Time: Sunday, January 7, 2024, at 8:20 PM ET

Location: Hard Rock Stadium


Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Week 18 Betting Odds

Bills-160-3 (-104)49 over (-110)
Dolphins+140+3 (-116)49 under (-110)

Buffalo Bills Analysis

The Buffalo Bills have displayed an explosive offense this season, led by quarterback Josh Allen‘s exceptional play. Allen boasts an outstanding passing game stat line: 65.6 percent completion rate and 3947 yards passed; his versatility allows him to make plays both airborne and on the ground; receiver Stefon Diggs contributed 1096 receiving yards for their passing attack; while James Cook led their rushing game which has added significantly to their yardage totals. Unfortunately for them though, scoring conversion has been inconsistent over the last 12 games; they now sport an ATS record of 3-9 which indicates this fact.

Defensively, the Bills have shown both strength and weakness on their road trips; their record stands at 1-4 against the spread in those contests. Their focus should be containing Miami’s high-powered passing attack by pressuring quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and disrupting his rhythm; their secondary will face challenges with Miami receivers so tight coverage will be key; finally they must improve against run play to limit Dolphin rushing yards thus creating more pressure for their passing game.

Miami Dolphins Analysis

The Miami Dolphins’ success can be credited to their dynamic offense led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa has been highly efficient and effective, completing 69.6% of his passes for 4451 yards at an impressive completion percentage. His high passer rating demonstrates his ability to make smart plays while avoiding costly miscues. Besides passing, De’Von Achane has been an explosive run contributor with an average 8-yard rush attempt average that adds another key component of their offensive playbook – showing their ability to score prolifically while maintaining balance and execution against Bills defensive players.

The Dolphins defense will have their work cut out for them when facing off against Buffalo’s high-scoring offense, particularly Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs. Their defensive line must also penetrate quickly, forcing Allen into hasty decisions while Miami’s secondary is responsible for stopping Allen’s deep passes from reaching big plays – all while creating pressure situations which could swing the game in their favor through forced turnovers and pressure situations. Miami’s defense must execute their strategies efficiently and adapt to Buffalo’s offensive scheme in order to secure victory in this crucial AFC East showdown.

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Against the Spread

The Bills have struggled against the spread in recent games, which could be a concern for bettors. Their inability to cover the spread in recent outings might indicate potential issues in overcoming the Dolphins’ strategies.

Conversely, the Dolphins have been strong against the spread, particularly in their last 19 games. Their ability to outperform expectations could make them a threat to the Bills in this matchup.

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Free Pick

Based on the odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Buffalo Bills (-160). Despite encountering challenges against the spread, the Buffalo Bills’ comprehensive performance throughout the season positions them as the favored team in this contest.

Spread: Miami Dolphins +3 (-116). Considering the Miami Dolphins’ impressive record against the spread and their formidable home game performance, they present a sound choice to cover the spread.

Total: Over 49 (-110). The offensive prowess demonstrated by both teams suggests a propensity for high-scoring encounters, rendering the over option a judicious selection.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 28, Miami Dolphins 27

In conclusion, while the Bills are favored to win, the Dolphins’ recent ATS performance and home-field advantage suggest they could cover the spread. Betting on the total going over seems reasonable given the offensive capabilities of both teams. For those interested in the latest NFL Week 18 picks, this game offers intriguing options, especially in the spread and total markets.