Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots 10-22-23 NFL Week 7 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots 10/22/23 – As the NFL season strides into Week 7, we find two teams at opposite ends of the standings spectrum clashing this Sunday. The Buffalo Bills, with an impressive 4-2 record, travel to Gillette Stadium to face a struggling New England Patriots side that holds a 1-5 record. For those looking for NFL daily picks, this encounter offers a tantalizing combination of offensive firepower and recent team trends.

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots

Date & Time: Sunday, October 22 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Gillette Stadium


Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots 10/22/23 Betting Odds

Bills-361-6.5 (-123)43.5 over (-118)
Patriots+289+6.5 (+100)43.5 under (-104)

Buffalo Bills Analysis

The Buffalo Bills’ offense has showcased itself as one of the NFL’s elite units, with Josh Allen at the helm delivering stellar performances week in, week out. Allen’s impressive statistics, particularly his 71.7% completion rate and 1576 passing yards over six games, reflect the Bills’ aerial prowess. His synergy with star receiver Stefon Diggs is undeniable, with Diggs registering an impressive 620 receiving yards and five touchdowns in just six games. This QB-WR combo has been the bane of many defenses, exploiting mismatches and creating big-play opportunities consistently.

On the defensive front, the Bills have complemented their offensive strength effectively. Their strategy of building early leads has forced opposing teams into more predictable passing scenarios, playing right into Buffalo’s game plan. However, some concern arises from the 36 sack yards they’ve lost, indicating that the offensive line might be under duress against teams with potent pass rushes. Tightening this aspect will be crucial if they aim to solidify their status as genuine Super Bowl contenders.

New England Patriots Analysis

The New England Patriots, once the dominating force in the NFL, are experiencing a rough patch, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Rookie quarterback Mac Jones has shown flashes of brilliance but has been marred by inconsistency. His 5-7 touchdown to interception ratio over six games exemplifies these growing pains. The run game, led by Stevenson, hasn’t provided much relief either. With an average of just three yards per rush attempt and a lack of explosive runs (evidenced by zero 20+ yard rushes), the Patriots’ offense appears somewhat stagnant and one-dimensional.

Defensively, the Patriots are a shadow of their former selves. Historically known for their staunch defense, the team has been struggling, especially at home where they’re 0-6 ATS. Their lack of consistent quarterback pressure coupled with periodic breakdowns in the secondary makes them vulnerable against high-flying offenses like that of the Bills. To revive their season, New England needs to revisit their defensive playbook, make necessary adjustments, and perhaps even consider personnel changes to bring back the defensive fortitude they were once known for.

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Against the Spread

The Bills have been a safe bet in recent games. Their strong 5-1 ATS record in the last six games against the Patriots and 6-1 SU in the last seven encounters further emphasize their dominance in this matchup. Their away form is also noteworthy, with the total going UNDER in 9 of their last 10 road games, a stat that bettors should keep an eye on.

The Patriots’ recent form paints a grim picture for their backers. Their 1-9 ATS record in their last ten games and a worrying 0-6 ATS in their last six home games suggest a lack of confidence at Gillette Stadium. Bettors should tread with caution when backing the home side.

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Bills -361 

The Bills’ recent form and superior squad should see them through against a struggling Patriots team.

Spread: Bills -6.5 (-123) 

Given the Bills’ previous ATS records and the Patriots’ current form, Buffalo should cover the spread comfortably.

Total: 43.5 under (-104)

Both teams have had a trend of games going UNDER recently, and given the Bills’ defense and the Patriots’ offensive struggles, this trend might continue.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 27, New England Patriots 13

Concluding, while any given Sunday can bring surprises, the smart money on Canadian top betting websites would be on the Buffalo Bills maintaining their momentum and further deepening the Patriots’ woes.