Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints 11-5-23 NFL Week 9 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints 11/5/23 – In a matchup that showcases a struggling Chicago Bears team against the middling New Orleans Saints, both teams enter week 9 with a point to prove. As the Bears seek to turn their season around and the Saints strive to keep their head above .500, this game promises intrigue and a potential shift in momentum. For daily NFL free picks enthusiasts, this match-up could be a potential gold mine.

Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints

Date & Time: Sunday, November 5, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Caesars Superdome

TV: CBS

Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints 11/5/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Bears+190+4.5 (-110)40.5 over (-110)
Saints-230-4.5 (-112)40.5 under (-112)

Chicago Bears Analysis

Offensively, the Bears have shown some bright spots with QB Justin Fields at the helm. Over six games, Fields has managed to throw for 1201 yards with 11 touchdowns, albeit he’s also thrown 6 interceptions. The young quarterback is supported by an emerging running back in Khalil Herbert, who boasts a commendable 5.3 yards per carry, though he hasn’t found the end zone yet. The receiving department has DJ Moore as its standout player, averaging a healthy 15.9 yards per reception and amassing 5 touchdowns.

Defensively, the Bears need to step up, especially if they aim to counter the Saints’ offensive thrusts. Their current win-loss record and previous performance against the Saints reveal that improvements are mandatory in covering key offensive players from the opposition and mitigating the big play potential the Saints possess.

New Orleans Saints Analysis

On the offensive front, Derek Carr‘s addition has injected stability into the Saints’ passing game. With a completion percentage of 64.5%, Carr has accumulated 1910 passing yards over eight games. This stat, however, is slightly overshadowed by his 8 passing touchdowns, suggesting a more conservative play style or struggles in the red zone. Alvin Kamara remains the workhorse in the running department, but his 3.7 yards per attempt may need a boost. In the receiving corps, Chris Olave has emerged as a dependable target, racking up 517 yards over 8 games.

Defensively, while the Saints have had their moments, they also have evident areas that require attention, especially when playing at home, as evidenced by their ATS record. Tightening their secondary and focusing on pass rush would be essential to keep Fields and his targets in check.

Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints Against the Spread

Chicago’s recent betting trends don’t favor them, particularly being 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games and 2-5 ATS in their last encounters against the Saints. Their abysmal 0-7 SU record in recent face-offs with the Saints further compounds their woes. On the road, their 1-7 ATS record over the last 8 games doesn’t inspire confidence.

For the Saints, while they’ve enjoyed a strong 6-1 SU record when playing at home against Chicago, they’ve struggled against the spread in recent games, going 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9. Additionally, their 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games highlights potential vulnerabilities at the Caesars Superdome.

Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Saints -230

Given the New Orleans Saints’ dominance over the Bears in recent matchups and playing at home, the Saints seem to be the safer bet.

Spread: Bears +4.5 (-110)

While the New Orleans Saints might clinch a win, the Bears could cover given the recent ATS struggles of the Saints at home.

Total: 40.5 under (-112)

With both teams showing recent defensive prowess and the total going UNDER in 12 of New Orleans’ last 14 games, it’s more probable we’ll see a low-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: New Orleans Saints 21, Chicago Bears 17

In conclusion, while the Saints are favored to win, the Bears covering the spread is a viable option, especially for those who enjoy Canadian top live betting. This game promises to be more about strategy and defense, making the UNDER a reliable pick. Enjoy the game, and best of luck!