Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 17 Betting Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 31, 2023

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 17 – The NFL regular season is nearing its climax, and the Week 17 matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals (8-7) and the Kansas City Chiefs (9-6) is set to be a thrilling encounter. Scheduled for Sunday, December 31, 2023, at 4:25 PM ET, this game will take place at the iconic GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on CBS. Both teams, with their strong records, bring excitement and anticipation to this game, making NFL picks and predictions a challenging yet intriguing task for sports bettors and enthusiasts alike.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Date & Time: Sunday, December 31, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium


Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds

Bengals+147+3.5 (-112)50.5 over (-115)
Chiefs-175-3.5 (-104)50.5 under (-108)

Cincinnati Bengals Analysis

Led by quarterback Joe Burrow, the Bengals boast one of the NFL’s most dangerous passing attacks. Burrow is averaging 230.9 passing yards per game with 15 touchdowns. His top weapon, wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, has been dominant with 1156 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. This aerial attack has powered the Bengals to the 6th most total yards per game (365.9). However, Cincinnati’s defense has been inconsistent, allowing the 9th most points per game (22.3). The Bengals will need to limit Kansas City’s high-powered offense if they want to pull off the upset.

On defense, Cincinnati has struggled to generate pressure and turnovers. They have just 29 sacks on the year and a -4 turnover differential. In order to contain Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, the Bengals must find ways to disrupt drives and create takeaways. Their secondary also needs to limit big plays downfield to explosive weapons like Rashee Rice. If the Bengals can tighten up defensively, their offense has enough firepower to keep pace in a shootout.

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

The Chiefs enter this game led by MVP candidate Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Mahomes is averaging a league-best 262.5 passing yards per game with 26 touchdowns. His connection with rookie wideout Rashee Rice has been lethal, as Rice has 811 receiving yards and 7 scores. Kansas City also features a strong run game behind Isiah Pacheco, who is averaging 61.9 rushing yards per contest. However, the Chiefs defense has been a weakness, allowing the 4th most passing yards per game (241.8). Kansas City must contain Burrow and the Bengals passing attack to emerge victorious.

While the offense grabs headlines, Kansas City’s defense remains inconsistent. They are allowing 22.5 points per game, which could allow Cincinnati to keep this a high-scoring affair. The Chiefs have also struggled to pressure the quarterback, registering just 29 sacks on the year. If they cannot get after Burrow, he will have time to dice up their vulnerable secondary. Kansas City must find ways to generate stops and turnovers to complement their prolific offense.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Against the Spread

The Bengals have been solid against the spread recently, covering in 5 of their last 7 matchups against the Chiefs. They also cover well on the road, going 5-2 ATS in their last 7 away contests. However, when playing at Kansas City, the under has hit in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 9 visits. 

The Chiefs have struggled against the number, going just 1-4-1 ATS over their last 6 games. The under has hit in 8 of Kansas City’s last 11 outings as well. At home against Cincinnati, the under is 12-3 in the Chiefs’ last 15 contests.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs (-175). The Chiefs’ dynamic offense and home-field advantage give them the edge in this matchup.

Spread: Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 (-112). With the trends favoring Cincinnati against the spread, taking the 3.5 points is advisable. The Bengals should be able to keep this game close, and the spread gives insurance if they fall in a close loss.

Total: Under 50.5 (-108). In Kansas City, the under has hit frequently in this rivalry. With two talented defenses, points could be at a premium. The trends say this stays under the high total.

Predicted Score: Kansas City Chiefs 26, Cincinnati Bengals 22

In conclusion, while the moneyline leans towards the Chiefs, the spread indicates a close contest, making the Bengals a good pick against the spread. The total going UNDER seems to be the most reliable bet, considering the historical trends in matchups at Arrowhead Stadium. For those looking to place bets, consulting top betting websites in Canada can provide additional insights and odds to make informed decisions. This game, with its intriguing dynamics and high stakes, is a must-watch and a highlight of NFL Week 17 action.