Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets 9/16/23 – As we head into the twilight of the 2023 MLB season, the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets face off in a crucial game that holds varying degrees of significance for both teams. The Reds will send Andrew Abbott to the mound, while the Mets counter with Tylor Megill. With both teams looking to make a statement, the stakes are high and provide a golden opportunity for bettors looking for the best MLB picks.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
Date & Time: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: PWIX
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets 9/16/23 Betting Odds
| Moneyline | Spread | Total | |
| Reds | -112 | -1.5 (+145) | 8.5 over (-104) |
| Mets | +102 | +1.5 (-165) | 8.5 under (-116) |
Cincinnati Reds Analysis
The Reds’ offense is one to be reckoned with, boasting a .247 batting average, 698 runs scored, and a commendable 171 home runs. Their on-base percentage stands at .325, supported by a slugging percentage of .412. Andrew Abbott will be their starting pitcher for the night. With an 8-5 win-loss record, 3.64 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.22, Abbott is a force to consider. In his 99 innings pitched, he has allowed 82 hits, struck out 107, and given up only 14 home runs.
New York Mets Analysis
The Mets, on the other hand, have a slightly lesser batting average of .239, yet their run total of 646 and 195 home runs point to a team that can certainly pack a punch. Their OBP stands at .319 with a slugging percentage of .409. Tylor Megill will be taking the mound for the Mets, holding an 8-7 record and a less than ideal 5.03 ERA. His WHIP of 1.64 over 107.1 innings, with 123 hits, 90 strikeouts, and 16 home runs allowed, leaves room for concern.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Against the Spread
When it comes to historical matchups and recent form, the trends lean slightly in favor of the New York Mets. Cincinnati has been struggling lately against the Mets, going 2-5 straight-up (SU) in their last seven meetings. When playing on the road against the Mets, the Reds have not fared well either, posting a 1-4 SU record in their last five outings. Overall, Cincinnati has a poor track record against teams in the National League East Division, standing at 1-5 SU in their last six matchups. The Reds also show a tendency for the total going UNDER in 9 of their last 11 games against opponents in the National League.
For the Mets, recent form suggests a favorable outcome in this matchup. The team is 4-1 SU in their last five games and has shown particular strength at home, boasting a 6-2 SU record in their last eight games at Citi Field. When playing at home against Cincinnati, the Mets have been solid with a 5-2 SU record in their last seven games. Interestingly, both teams have shown a consistent tendency towards the UNDER in total runs. Specifically, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Mets’ last 6 games against Cincinnati, and the Mets have seen the UNDER in 5 of their last 5 games played on a Friday.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Free Pick
After carefully considering odds, trends, team stats, and the starting pitchers, here are the picks:
Moneyline: Mets +102
Considering the Mets’ recent form and home-game advantage, the Moneyline bet offers value for risk-takers.
Spread: Mets +1.5 (-165)
The Mets have been strong at home, and with a spread of +1.5, it seems to be a safer bet.
Total: 8.5 under (-116)
Both teams have shown a tendency for the UNDER, especially when playing against opponents in their divisions. Therefore, betting the UNDER seems more logical for this matchup.
Prediction: 2-4 New York Mets win
Tonight’s showdown between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets is set to be a nail-biter, especially for fans engaged in live betting in Canada and elsewhere. With both teams trying to close out their seasons on a high note, the spotlight will be on the starting pitchers, Abbott for the Reds and Megill for the Mets. Our analysis suggests leaning towards the Mets for both the Moneyline and Spread, while also considering the UNDER for total runs. As always, gamble responsibly and may the odds be in your favor.
