Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres 5-1-23 MLB Odds, Analysis and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres 5/1/23 – Cincinnati dropped their series finale against Oakland on Sunday and will start right-hander Luke Weaver on Monday night for them. San Diego defeated San Francisco 2-0 at Mexico City this past weekend. Left-hander Blake Snell will take the mound for the Padres. San Diego are hoping to take down the Reds as they are the top picks by the MLB betting stats.

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres 

Date & Time: Monday, May 1, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET

Location: Petco Park San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres 5/1/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: +204

Spread: +1.5 (+100)

Total: 9 over (-104)


Moneyline: -225

Spread: -1.5 (-120)

Total: 9 under (-116)

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Analysis

Cincinnati Reds currently stands with an overall slugging percentage of 0.362 and have struck out 247 times while walking 100 times this season, as well as amassing 115 RBI’s with 217 hits for an overall average batting average of 0.245. The Reds have amassed 40 two-baggers as a team, knocking 18 balls out of the park and amassing 121 runs while maintaining an on-base percentage of 0.328. Overall, Cincinnati Reds are scoring an average of 4.5 runs per outing; placing 17th among MLB clubs. At this point in the season, the Cincinnati Reds have amassed 706 putouts, 198 assists, and 12 errors for an outstanding fielding percentage of 0.987 which ranks 15th in MLB – they also boast 21 double plays. The Reds have managed to convert 64.5% of balls in play into outs during their 2,118 innings on the field, ranking them 30th overall among professional baseball clubs. Weaver has amassed 462 innings and 478 strikeouts to his name during his career, posting an earned run average of 4.87 and WHIP of 1.399. He has allowed 495 base hits and issued 152 free passes, yielding a FIP of 4.04 while facing 2,024 batters in major league innings.

This season, the San Diego Padres have achieved both an OBP of 0.312 and batting average of 0.224, recording 247 total innings played and collecting 204 base hits. San Diego Padres have hit 34 homers this year and recorded 109 runs batted in, as well as 4.11 runs per outing on average. 49 doubles have also been hit, as well as 112 walks taken and 115 scored runs scored by San Diego this season. The Padres baseball team has recorded 2,229 innings on the diamond and have achieved a defensive efficiency rating of 69.8%, producing 23 double plays with an excellent fielding percentage of 0.994, 266 assists, 6 errors and 743 putouts so far this year. Snell has had an outstanding professional baseball career, accumulating 685 hits while striking out 1,015 times in 835 innings – yielding 322 earned runs. As such, his WHIP stands at 1.262 and FIP of 3.5 respectively. At 2.74 K/BB ratio and 3,486 batters faced during his MLB career to date, Snell boasts an ERA of 3.47 while surrendering 7.4 hits per 9 innings.

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Against the Spread

Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 overall. The Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass. Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 vs. National League Central. Under is 4-0 in Snell’s last 4 starts vs. National League Central. Over is 4-0 in Snell’s last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Padres are 0-4 in Snell’s last 4 Monday starts. The Padres are 0-5 in Snell’s last 5 starts on grass.

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Free Pick

Weaver has had two disappointing starts this year, giving up 10 earned runs on 12 hits with four walks over 11.2 total innings pitched. San Diego could find some offensive opportunities if Weaver struggles to start quickly, as was seen Sunday when they took some time before finally posting 10 team hits in their comeback victory. San Diego would appear to be in excellent form according to MLB betting lines with such quality pitching performances from its pitchers.

Free Pick: San Diego Padres -225