Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat 4-1-23 NBA Analysis, Picks and Odds

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat 4/1/23 – On Saturday night at Miami-Dade Arena, the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat will clash for supremacy. Following their loss to Philadelphia on Wednesday, Dallas is 1-5 straight up in their last six games and one game behind Oklahoma City for the final spot in the Western Conference Play-in Tournament. On Wednesday, Miami fell to New York for the third straight loss and remain in seventh place in the Eastern Conference standings. To avoid being eliminated from the Play-in Tournament, they need to move ahead of Brooklyn who sits 1.5 games ahead. NBA betting sites are up to date for online bettors to place their bets on favorites teams. 

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Date & Time: Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Location: Miami-Dade Arena 

TV: NBAt

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat 4/1/23 Betting Odds

Mavericks

Moneyline: +110

Spread: +2 (-116)

Total: TBD

Heat

Moneyline: -135

Spread: -2 (-116)

Total: TBD

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Analysis

Dallas Mavericks averages 113.8 points per game, shooting 47.4 percent from the field and 37.2 percent from three. It makes 75.7 percent of its free throws and averages 38.6 rebounds (30th) with a -5.6 rebounding margin. In adjusted offensive rating, Dallas ranks 6th in effective field goal percentage and 28th in pace. The Mavericks surrendered 113.3 points per game on defense, while their opponents shot 48.5 percent including 35.2 percent from three. They rank 23rd in adjusted defensive rating and 11th in assist-per-turnover ratio.

Miami Heat averages 108.7 points per game and shoots 45.6 percent from the field, including 34.1 percent from three. They convert 83.2 percent of their free throws and average 40.6 rebounds with an -1.5 margin in rebounding margin. In adjusted offensive rating, effective field goal percentage, and pace rankings, Miami ranks 25th overall. Miami surrenders 109.8 points per game on defense, while their opponents shoot 48.1 percent, including 37.0 percent from three-point range. Miami ranks 9th in adjusted defensive rating and 23rd in assist-per-turnover ratio.

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Against the Spread

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’ last 7 games. Dallas are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games. Dallas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Miami. Dallas are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Miami. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas’ last 5 games on the road.

Miami are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games. Miami are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games at home. Miami are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas.

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Free Pick

At this stage of the regular season, both Mavs and Heat are in similar predicaments. Both teams have underperformed expectations – particularly recently – and could potentially miss the playoffs altogether or lose their position. NBA betting trends suggest that Dallas should be taken as the team to have faith in.

Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks +2 (-116)