DC United vs. San Jose Earthquakes 9-9-23 MLS Soccer Odds, Analysis, and Picks

DC United vs. San Jose Earthquakes 9/9/23 – As MLS picks today in Canada are making headlines, attention now shifts to the United States, where D.C. United and San Jose Earthquakes will meet for an intriguing clash at Audi Field in Washington, D.C. This match-up is set for Saturday, September 9 2023 – it should not disappoint. Goalkeeper Alex Bono of D.C United will defend their goal against Daniel from San Jose Earthquakes; both keepers must play well to secure victory for their respective clubs.

D.C. United vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Date & Time: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Location: Audi Field in Washington, D.C.

TV: ATV

DC United vs. San Jose Earthquakes 9/9/23 Betting Odds

MoneylineSpreadTotalDraw
D.C. United -118-1 (+236)2.5 over (-105)
+270
San Jose Earthquakes+300-1 (-106)2.5 under (-118)

D.C. United Analysis

D.C. United has endured an unpredictable and inconsistent season, evidenced by their 9-6-12 record and dismal goal differential (37 goals scored vs. 38 conceded), indicating both defensive shortcomings and attack inefficiency. Their 18th-place ranking in expected goals (33.8) also shows they’re failing to create enough goal-scoring opportunities – vitally important for league table-climbing teams.

Defense metrics show D.C. United has exceeded their expected goals-against figure of 31.8 by conceding 38 goals; this indicates a defense which struggles with positioning and decision-making, placing additional stress on their goalkeeper Alex Bono who has allowed 1.52 goals per 90 minutes while having only managed 67.9% save percentage – something his track record (with 30 shutouts out of 147 career starts) proves is capable of doing. His performance against Philadelphia United may determine its fate.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

On the flip side, the San Jose Earthquakes also find themselves in a challenging situation with a record of 9-9-9. Their goal differential isn’t much to brag about either. The team’s 32 goals scored and 36 goals conceded underline the necessity for improvement in both defense and attack. Their expected goal figure stands at 35.3, indicating that they too struggle in the attacking third. However, with a goals-against rate of 1.33 per 90 minutes, they have a slight defensive edge over D.C. United.

Daniel, San Jose’s goalkeeper, provides a bit of comfort for the team. His save percentage of 70.7% and 41 shutouts in his 150 career starts indicate a more seasoned and reliable keeper compared to Bono. His slightly better metrics give San Jose a marginal advantage in goalkeeping, which could be pivotal in a match where both teams seem closely matched.

D.C. United vs. San Jose Earthquakes Against the Spread

When it comes to recent form, D.C. United falls short with a 1-3 record in their last five games. They also disappoint against the spread, holding a 1-4 record in the same period. At home, however, they tend to be part of high-scoring affairs, with the totals going OVER in 10 of their last 13 games.

San Jose has a more balanced recent record, sitting at 2-2 in their last five games. Against the spread, they haven’t done particularly well either, showing a 2-3 record. On the road, they are part of matches where the totals have gone OVER in 8 of their last 14 games. These trends indicate a propensity for high-scoring games for both teams, making the OVER a potentially lucrative bet.

D.C. United vs. San Jose Earthquakes Free Pick

Given the defensive concerns and recent trends, a high-scoring 2-2 draw is a plausible outcome. Here are some tips:

Moneyline: D.C. United -118

With home advantage and slightly better assist stats.

Spread: San Jose Earthquakes -1 (-106)

Given their slightly better defensive metrics and the form of goalkeeper Daniel.

Total: 2.5 over (-105)

Both teams show trends of high-scoring matches.

Draw: +270

Given the closely matched statistics and inconsistent form, a draw offers reasonable value.

Prediction: 2-2 DRAW

Navigating the complexities of these two teams can make sports betting both challenging and exciting. Both D.C. United and San Jose Earthquakes have shown defensive frailties and offensive inconsistencies. This makes it difficult to predict a clear winner, but it certainly makes the game exciting from a sports betting perspective. With their closely matched stats and recent forms, a high-scoring draw would not be a surprising outcome. Both teams will likely find the back of the net, providing an exciting match for viewers and bettors alike.