Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills 11-13-23 NFL Week 10 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills 11/13/23 – As the NFL season continues to heat up, fans and bettors alike are looking forward to the Week 10 matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Buffalo Bills. With the Broncos at a 3-5 record going up against the Bills’ 5-4, this Monday night football game on November 13, 2023, promises to be a display of gridiron grit and tactical playmaking. This game is pivotal for both teams looking to solidify their standings as the season’s midpoint passes. For those seeking NFL expert free picks, this game will undoubtedly offer exciting opportunities.

Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills

Date & Time: Monday, November 13, at 8:15 PM ET

Location: Highmark Stadium


Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills 11/13/23 Betting Odds

Denver Broncos+350  +8.5 (-111)O 46.5 (-118)
Raiders-450 -8.5 (-111)U 46.5 (-104)

Denver Broncos Analysis

Offensively, the Denver Broncos have navigated through an erratic season. The spotlight has been on Russell Wilson, a quarterback known for his playmaking ability, yet the stats show a man struggling to reach his zenith in Denver. With a completion percentage of 66.1 and a passer rating of 101.7, Wilson has managed to generate 1613 passing yards, but the Broncos will need more from him to tackle Buffalo’s defense. In the running game, Javonte Williams brings a solid presence with 357 rushing yards, but his lack of touchdowns is a concern. Wide receiver Courtland Sutton has been a glimmer of hope with 380 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, yet the Broncos’ offense will need to find higher gears to penetrate the Bills’ defense.

On defense, Denver has been more resilient, but they’ve still let games slip away. Their capability to handle dynamic offenses will be tested against the Bills. For Denver to leave Buffalo with a win, their defensive unit must disrupt the Bills’ rhythm, force turnovers, and improve their road game resilience, where they’ve been wanting.

Buffalo Bills Analysis

The Buffalo Bills’ offense has shown more consistency and dynamism, thanks largely to the commanding presence of Josh Allen under center. With a superior completion percentage of 71.3 and a passer rating just shy of 100, Allen has amassed 2423 passing yards and 18 touchdowns, showcasing his ability to steer the Bills’ offense effectively. The rushing attack, spearheaded by James Cook, has added depth and versatility to the playbook. Stefon Diggs remains a significant threat in the receiving corps, with 834 yards and 7 touchdowns, ensuring the Broncos’ defense cannot afford any lapses in coverage.

Buffalo’s defense, while robust overall, has had some vulnerabilities exposed in recent games. To defeat Denver, they will need to pressure Wilson, who’s shown susceptibility to sacks this season, and contain any breakout rushes from Williams. The defense’s performance at home has been stellar, and continuing this trend will be critical for a Bills victory.

Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills Against the Spread

The Broncos have struggled against the spread, particularly in their matchups with the Bills, where they have failed to cover in their last seven encounters. Denver’s overall ATS record is also lackluster, with a 2-6-1 showing in their last nine games. The total has frequently gone OVER for Denver, suggesting their games have been higher scoring than anticipated.

Conversely, the Bills have a poor recent ATS record, going 0-5 in their last five games, despite a strong SU record at home. However, when facing Denver at Highmark Stadium, they have an impressive 6-1 ATS record in their last seven home games against them, highlighting a dominant trend.

Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Bills -450

Considering both teams’ performances, the Bills are the safer moneyline pick. Despite the heavy juice on their line, their superior offensive unit and strong home record make them the likely winners.

Spread: Bills -8.5 (-111)

The Bills have had a dominant spread record against the Broncos, especially at home. Expect them to cover the -8.5 spread as their high-powered offense takes on a Denver team that has been inconsistent at best.

Total: 46.5 over (-118)

Given Denver’s trend of going OVER and Buffalo’s explosive offense, betting the OVER seems the right call, anticipating a high-scoring game if the Broncos’ offense can contribute.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 31, Denver Broncos 20

In the realm of Canadian best sports betting, the under on the total points might typically be enticing considering the defensive strengths of both teams. However, with the offensive prowess displayed by the Bills and the Broncos’ capability to put up points in pursuit, the over seems more promising. The spread is in favor of the Bills, a team that has consistently outperformed Denver in recent matchups. Taking Buffalo to cover could be the most reliable pick for bettors looking to capitalize on this AFC showdown.