Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions NFL Week 15 Betting Picks and Prediction for Saturday, December 16, 2023

Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions – In a highly anticipated NFL Week 15 showdown, the Denver Broncos (7-6) are set to face the Detroit Lions (9-4) in a game that could have significant playoff implications. Taking place on Saturday, December 16, 2023, at Ford Field and televised on NFLN, this matchup is a must-watch for fans and NFL free picks enthusiasts alike. With the Lions in strong form and the Broncos striving to climb up the ranks, this game promises to be a compelling contest.

Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions

Date & Time: Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET

Location: Ford Field


Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions Betting Odds

Broncos+190+4.5 (-110)46.5 over (-115)
Lions-220-4.5 (-110)46.5 under (-105)

Denver Broncos Analysis

Led by Russell Wilson, the Broncos boast a formidable passing offense, with Wilson throwing for 2609 yards and 23 touchdowns so far. His top weapon is Courtland Sutton, who has 699 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. Sutton’s big play ability, with a 46 yard long reception, makes him a constant threat. The Broncos ground game features Javonte Williams, who adds balance with 650 rushing yards at 3.8 yards per carry. While the offense has firepower, the Broncos have struggled with turnovers, highlighted by Wilson’s 8 interceptions. They’ll need to protect the football to pull off the road upset.

Defensively, the Broncos are solid but not spectacular. They allow the 13th fewest points per game, but don’t force many turnovers, with just 17 takeaways on the year. The pass defense has been strong, holding opponents to just 201 passing yards per game. However, their run defense has been more vulnerable, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Against Detroit’s dynamic rushing attack, Denver must focus on limiting big plays on early downs.

Detroit Lions Analysis

Led by Jared Goff, the Lions have discovered an offensive identity, blending an efficient passing game with an explosive ground attack. Goff has thrown for over 3400 yards by taking care of the football, with just 10 interceptions to 21 touchdowns. His top target is Amon-Ra St. Brown, who has 1063 yards at 12.2 yards per catch. Combining with running back David Montgomery, who has 770 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns, the Lions have one of the most balanced attacks in the league. However, turnovers and negative plays could derail this unit. Protection has been an issue, with Goff being sacked 25 times. Avoiding Denver’s pass rush will be key for Detroit to sustain drives.

Defensively, the Lions remain a work in progress, allowing the 4th most points per game at 25.7. While they have playmakers like Aidan Hutchinson up front, this unit has just 18 takeaways on the year. The Lions have been gashed against the run, giving up 142 rushing yards per game and 4.7 yards per carry. With Denver’s ground game heating up in recent weeks, Detroit must load the box and force Russell Wilson to beat them.

Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions Against the Spread

Despite a 7-6 record, Denver has been strong against the spread this season, covering in 5 of their last 7 contests. And while the Broncos have gone under in 7 of 8, their offense seems to be finding more big play ability. As 4.5 point road underdogs, trust Russell Wilson to keep this game close.

Meanwhile, Detroit has been outstanding against the number, covering in 14 of their last 20 outings. And as 9.4 home favorites, the Lions have gone 4-1 straight up at Ford Field, while also covering in 6 of 7 as home chalk. With their offense rolling and defense playing better at home, lay the points with the Lions.

Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Lions -220

The Lions’ balanced offensive prowess and home-field advantage make them the favorites in this matchup.

Spread: Lions -4.5 (-110) 

The Lions have been strong ATS and their offensive efficiency should help them cover the spread.

Total: 46.5 under (-105). 

Given the Broncos’ tendency for low-scoring games and their strong defense, the total is likely to go UNDER.

Predicted Score: Detroit Lions 26, Denver Broncos 19

In conclusion, for those involved in Canadian online betting, the most reliable pick would be the Lions covering the spread. Detroit’s offensive consistency and home-field advantage, combined with Denver’s struggles in high-pressure games, make the Lions the safer bet to cover the -4.5 spread.