Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento UFC on ESPN 56 Betting Picks and Prediction for Saturday, May 11, 2024

Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento – The UFC hosts its fight this Saturday at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri, in the heart of the USA, where fans are given a thrilling heavyweight fight between Derrick Lewis and Rodrigo Nascimento. On account of their record to wins Lewis being currently at 27 wins, 12 losses and the other at 11 wins and 1 NC this fight matters a lot for the heavyweight division by the way it will be thrilling. The show, airing on ESPN+, is an ideal choice for MMA free picks for today, as it features a set of veteran stars that are pitted off against a crop of excitement and fresh blood.

Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Game Info

When: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Where: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri, USA


Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Betting Odds

Lewis -275

Derrick Lewis Analysis

Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis with his history of 27-12-0(1NC) fights and his reputation as a powerful hitter and a finisher of spectacular moves enters the ring. Averaging 2.43 big punches per minute with a striking accuracy of 50%, Lewis’ stand-up game is lethal and definitely not one of those to be underestimated in the heavyweight division. His mat skills may not have been as impressive with a mat average of zero. He takedowns on average 1.85 per minute with a 26% takedown accuracy but his stand-up is what usually sets the tempo of the bouts. Almeida winning against him after all illustrated what they could be, especially the tendency to give way under pressure, that would be pivotal to the upcoming match.

Rodrigo Nascimento Analysis

While across the octagon, Rodrigo “Ze Colmeia” Nascimento sports a shorter but impressive record of 11-1-0 (1NC) as well. Particularly, Nascimento’s stats have a trend for more aggression in that they land 4.31 major hits per minute with a 48% ratio of being accurate. Despite absorbing 4.76 strikes per minute, his defensive game was better than Lewis’s, where he had an average of a 43% defense rate. Even more recognizable is his grappling skills with an expertise of 1.20 takedowns made in 15 minutes with a 77 percent takedown defense. That last fight where he defeated Mayes was the time when he exhibited his all-around skills and the possibility of having the upper hand in how he executed the fight.

Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Stats

Wins/Losses/Draws27-12-0 (1 NC)11-1-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time9:058:56
Height6′ 3″6′ 2″
Weight260 lbs.246 lbs.
Strikes Landed per Min.2.434.31
Striking Accuracy50%48%
Strikes Absorbed per Min.2.484.76
Takedowns Average/15 min.0.531.20
Takedown Accuracy26%33%
Takedown Defense53%77%
Submission Average/15 min.0.00.7

Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Betting Picks

Through the statistics and the recent performances of both boxers, this fight shows more the classic puncher versus grappler match-up. Lewis most likely engaged in stand-up battle employing his heavy load of punches to finish the fight immediately. On the other hand, Nascimento will try to close the gap, possibly getting Lewis, who is the least effective in grappling, down on the ground where he will use his superior submission defenses.

With the odds slightly favoring Lewis at -145, which represents his ability to end a fight either by knockout or decision against division leaders, this fight looks like a promising opportunity. Although Nascimento at +110 is a more profitable bet should he be able to control the fight himself and respond to Lewis’s strikes accordingly.

Free Pick: Rodrigo Nascimento +110

This fight is a must-watch for fans and bettors alike, offering a clear contrast in styles and potential outcomes. For those looking to engage in betting, checking out Canadian top betting websites might provide additional insights and odds that could influence betting strategies. Regardless of the outcome, this heavyweight clash will undoubtedly add another exciting chapter to both fighters’ careers in the UFC.