Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles 10-21-23 NCAAF Week 8 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles 10/21/23 – In a contest that promises thrills and spills, the surging Duke Blue Devils, with an impressive 5-1 record, are poised to challenge the undefeated Florida State Seminoles. As we approach the midpoint of the NCAAF season, this Week 8 matchup is more than just a game; it’s about pride, position, and potential playoff implications. For bettors around the globe, this clash is a prime opportunity to discern the NCAAF free picks that offer the best value.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles

Date & Time: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Location: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium

TV: ABC

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles 10/21/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Duke+450+14.5 (-115)49 over (-107)
Florida State-570-14.5 (-105)49 under (-113)

Duke Blue Devils Analysis

Offensively, the Duke¬† Blue Devils are shaping up well. Riley Leonard, their quarterback, has consistently stepped up, achieving a 62.7% completion rate and racking up 912 passing yards. The connection he’s built with wide receiver Jalon Calhoun stands out; Calhoun, with a reception average of 15.3 yards, is indeed a key player downfield. The emergence of running back Jordan Waters, with an average of 6.6 yards per run and a commendable 9 touchdowns, is worth noting.

On the defense side, the Duke Blue Devils have their work cut out against the high-powered Seminoles offense. Their history against Florida State indicates they’re up for a challenge. A robust defense, focusing primarily on their secondary, will be essential to contain the Seminoles’ passing game.

Florida State Seminoles Analysis

The Florida State Seminoles’ offensive prowess this season is undeniable. Quarterback Jordan Travis has showcased elite skills, boasting a passer rating of 154.1 and an outstanding 13 touchdowns to a mere 1 interception ratio. His collaboration with wide receiver Keon Coleman has been a nightmare for the opposition. Coleman’s average of 14.4 yards per reception, coupled with his 7 touchdowns, mirrors the Seminoles’ offensive versatility. Trey Benson spearheads their ground assault, averaging 7.1 yards per run and recording 6 touchdowns, providing a well-rounded offensive approach.

Defensively, the Florida State Seminoles have set high standards, more so when playing at home. Their dominant performance against Duke, especially at the Bobby Bowden Field, gives them an advantage. However, for a conclusive win, they’ll need to be on their toes against Duke’s running offense, keeping an eye on the explosive Jordan Waters.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles Against the Spread

The Duke Blue Devils come into this game with a respectable 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Despite their commendable season so far, their record against the Seminoles is less than stellar. Historically, they’ve struggled, going 1-7 ATS and 0-10 SU in their last ten matchups against Florida State. Their road games, in particular, seem to be their Achilles’ heel, going 0-8 SU when playing at Florida State.

The Florida State Seminoles, on the other hand, have been a strong betting choice, going 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games. Their home record is particularly intimidating, boasting a 6-0 SU in recent matchups. When facing the Blue Devils, the Seminoles have historically dominated, especially at home, with an 8-0 SU record.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Florida State -570

The Florida State unbeaten record and historical dominance over Duke make them the safer bet.

Spread: Duke +14.5 (-115) 

Despite Florida State’s dominance, Duke’s improved form suggests they can cover the spread.

Total: 49 over (-107) 

Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, an over seems plausible.

Predicted Score: Florida State Seminoles 31, Duke Blue Devils 20

In conclusion, while the Seminoles are the favorites and have been dominant, especially at home, the Blue Devils have shown enough promise this season to suggest they can be competitive. For those involved in Canadian live betting, the spread for Duke offers compelling value, but the moneyline for the Seminoles seems the most reliable pick to bet.