Empoli vs Lecce 4-3-23 Serie A Soccer Odds, Analysis and Prediction

Empoli vs Lecce 4/3/23 – On Monday night, Empoli and Lecce will face off at Stadio Carlo Castellani in round 28 of Serie A. Both sides come into the match on a run of four defeats and will aim to end it quickly as per Soccer betting lines. Empoli boast a record of 6-10-11 while Lecce have an even 6-9-12. Guglielmo Vicario for Empoli and Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce are expected to start as goalkeepers. 

Empoli vs Lecce 

Date & Time: Monday, April 3, 2023 at 12:30 PM ET

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani

TV: Paramount+

Empoli vs Lecce 4/3/23 Betting Odds

Empoli

Moneyline: +157

Spread: -0.25 (+110)

Total: 2 over (+106)

Lecce

Moneyline: +220

Spread: +0.25 (-130)

Total: 2 under (-126)

Empoli vs Lecce Analysis

Empoli currently have 79 saves and boast a save percentage of 70.4 on the season. Their goal differential is -12 with 24 goals finished and 36 conceded, and they average 1.04 points per match this season – ranking 18th in Serie A with 13 assists. On defense, Empoli ranks 18th with an xG score of 26.00 while their xGA are sitting at 43.6. To date this season, Empoli have earned 67 yellow cards and 5 red cards, surrendering 36 goals while allowing 1.33 goals per 90 minutes; opposition shots on target are at 115 shots on target with seven clean sheets earning them an overall percentage of 25.9% this campaign. Guglielmo Vicario is expected to keep Empoli’s goalkeeper safe. With 24 clean sheets under his belt and an impressive 23.8% shutout rate, Vicario has recorded 299 shots attempted at him in 101 starts; his goals allowed per 90 minutes averages 0.86, giving him a save percentage of 0.736; plus, with 9,107 minutes played under his belt and 220 stops made throughout his career, Vicario boasts an impressive statistics. Martin Satriano is a player you should keep an eye on for Empoli. In 31 matches, the Italian forward has started and scored 6 goals in 2,549 professional minutes played, adding an assist as well as 8 yellow card cautions throughout his soccer career. With these statistics in mind, you can bet that Martin Satriano will be one to watch moving forward in your favorite league.

Lecce are averaging 1.0 points per match this season with 16 assists and two red cards, as well as having amassed a shutout percentage of 11.1 this year and 62 yellow card cautions. Lecce ranks 14th for goals given up with 32, while their goal difference stands at -8. This team also ranks 16th in soccer with 27 points scored this year with 75.9% save percentage, 1.19 goals against per 90 minutes, 86 saves this season, 3 shutouts, 24 goals earned and 22.2 expected goals this year. Wladimiro Falcone will be in goal for Lecce. In his career, he has allowed an average of 1.23 goals per 90 minutes and earned 12 clean sheets while seeing 321 shots against him over 5,850 minutes. Over this span of time, Falcone has surrendered 80 goals while compiling 250 stops in 65 starts for a save percentage of 0.779 and clean sheet rate currently sitting at 18.5%. Lecce has a player in Gabriel Strefezza who can cause havoc on the field. So far in his career, he has accrued 24 yellow card cautions and assisted a teammate on three goals. Born in Brazil, Strefezza has played 6,780 minutes while scoring 13 goals at an impressive 0.17 goals per 90 minutes average and started 75 games during his professional soccer career.

Empoli vs Lecce Against the Spread

Empoli are 0-3 in their last 5 games. Empoli are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread. Empoli are 4-1 in their road games against the spread. The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Empoli’ last 4 games. The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Empoli’ 7 last games at home.

Lecce are 1-3 in their last 5 games. Lecce are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread. Lecce are 5-3 in their road games against the spread. The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Lecce’ last 4 games. The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Lecce’ 5 last games at home.

Empoli vs Lecce Free Pick

Both teams enter the weekend hoping for a morale-boosting result, so expect an exciting bottom-half clash at Stadio Carlo Castellani. With home advantage in their favor, Serie A betting analysts expect Empoli should come out on top – albeit by just the odd goal. 

Free Pick: Empoli +157