FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart 9-16-23 Bundesliga Soccer Prediction, Tips, and Odds

FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart 9/16/23 – FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart have generated considerable anticipation ahead of their upcoming clash, scheduled for Saturday, September 16, 2023, at Mewa Arena in Mainz, Germany, and to be broadcast live by ESPN+. Goalkeepers Robin Zentner for FSV Mainz 05 and Alexander Nubel from VfB Stuttgart will play pivotal roles as each side looks to secure valuable points during this Bundesliga encounter. With the match near, Bundesliga picks from experts and fans alike lean toward an intense and closely fought game.

FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart

Date & Time: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 9:30 AM ET

Location: Mewa Arena in Mainz, Germany


FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart 9/16/23 Betting Odds

FSV Mainz 05-1 (+325)+1172.5 over (+110)
VfB Stuttgart+1 (-164)+2052.5 under (-138)

FSV Mainz 05 Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 have had an inauspicious start to their Bundesliga campaign, showcasing an alarming lack of form on both ends of the pitch. Their stats speak for themselves; they have conceded nine goals while scoring only two, resulting in a goal differential of -7. Additionally, expected goals metrics demonstrate this dismal picture as their average expected goal scorer stands at just 4.08 against 5.8 expected goals. This gap highlights their struggles on both ends of the pitch. Mainz have made headlines this season for failing to record even one assist, underscoring their lack of creativity and fluidity in play. On average, they’ve earned only 0.33 points per game, which falls significantly short of what’s required to maintain an acceptable league position. Furthermore, Mainz has been highly undisciplined, accruing 10 yellow cards within just a few matches, perhaps indicating their frustration or inadequacy tactically.

Mainz’s struggles cannot be discounted without considering Robin Zentner, their underperforming goalkeeper. Zentner has not shown great promise throughout his career, with his save percentage being approximately 69.1% – while not terrible; it highlights Mainz’s defensive frailties further. Especially this season, his save percentage had only reached 38.5%; such performances put enormous strain on other team members and contributed significantly to his dismal record of Mainz. Zentner will need to step up if Mainz are to turn their fortunes around.

VfB Stuttgart Analysis

VfB Stuttgart have made an excellent start to their Bundesliga campaign, sitting 7th with 6 points. Their performance has been well-rounded; scoring 11 times – more than double their expected 5.9 goals – has proven them a well-coordinated and effective attacking unit. Defense has been Stuttgart’s forte. Allowing just five goals this season and boasting an impressive shutout rate of 66.7%, they have maintained an excellent goal differential (+6) while showing toughness on defense and offensively. Their impressive defensive stats give them the confidence to press forward and create scoring opportunities.

Alexander Nubel has been an integral component of Stuttgart’s defensive unit. Over his career, Nubel boasts an outstanding save percentage of 72.6%, which surpasses his counterpart at Mainz; additionally, his clean sheet rate stands at 25.8%, showing more consistency between the posts than Mainz. Under pressure, he has performed admirably, facing over 562 shots in over 11,000 minutes of professional play alone. Nubel provides security by blanketing his teammates on the field.

FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart Against the Spread

FSV Mainz 05’s betting trends do not fill us with much confidence, with only two wins in their last five games (0-2) covering the spread, all three times failing to cover it on the road (0-2 record against the spread). Conversely, VfB Stuttgart are performing far better, boasting both positive records over their last five matches (3-1) as well as against the spread (3-2) but an unfavorable road record (1-1). There is room for improvement in away fixtures compared to FSV Mainz 05’s.

Over/Under Trends can also offer insight. Mainz’s most recent three games saw their totals go OVER in two, suggesting a leaky defense during an active attack. Meanwhile, Stuttgart experienced more consistent OVER trends, with all three totals going OVER, possibly signalling high-scoring affairs aided by their impressive attack.

FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart Free Pick

Given the current forms and stats, a for VfB Stuttgart seems the most plausible outcome. Here are our picks based on odds and teams’ performances

Moneyline: VfB Stuttgart +205 

Given the VfB Stuttgart’s superior form and defense.

Spread: VfB Stuttgart +1 (-164) 

Mainz’s weak defense makes it likely that Stuttgart will win by at least a goal.

Total: 2.5 over (+110) 

Take the over, considering the tendency for high-scoring games from both teams.

Draw: (+280) 

It seems unlikely based on the current form and stats.

Prediction: 1-2 VfB Stuttgart win

This Bundesliga match offers many betting opportunities for enthusiasts engaged in online betting in Canada. VfB Stuttgart seems poised for victory in several categories, primarily due to their balanced approach to offense and defense. Remember to bet responsibly, and best of luck.