Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants NFL Week 14 – The 6-6 Green Bay Packers travel to MetLife Stadium to take on the 4-8 New York Giants for this Week 14 NFC showdown. With only a few weeks left in the NFL regular season, both teams need a win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Our expert NFL winning pick analysis below breaks down the betting odds, trends, team stats, and key players to help you make the most informed wager.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants
Date & Time: Monday, December 11, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
Location: MetLife Stadium
TV: ABC
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants NFL Week 14 Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Packers | -270 | -5.5 (-120) | 38 over (-111) |
| Giants | +220 | +5.5 (-102) | 38 under (-111) |
Green Bay Packers Analysis
The Packers enter this game averaging just over 20 points per game on offense, led by second year quarterback Jordan Love. Love has put together a decent season with 2866 passing yards, 22 touchdowns and 10 interceptions while being sacked 24 times. His top receiving target has been wideout Jayden Reed, who has accounted for 513 yards and 5 touchdowns. On the ground, running back AJ Dillon leads the team with 521 rushing yards and provides a solid complementary attack.
Defensively, the Packers have allowed opponents to score 23.5 points per contest. They have struggled against the pass at times, allowing nearly 250 yards per game through the air with 15 touchdowns given up. Generating pressure and improving their pass coverage will be key against a dangerous Giants passing attack. Specifically, their secondary has been vulnerable, giving up too many big plays downfield. They’ve also failed to force many turnovers, tallying just 10 interceptions and 5 fumble recoveries so far. Coming up with some takeaways could swing momentum in their favor.
New York Giants Analysis
The Giants offense averages just 17.5 points per game, third worst in the NFL. Quarterback Daniel Jones has 909 passing yards in just 6 games played along with 2 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. When healthy, star running back Saquon Barkley has been a bright spot, averaging 77 rushing yards per contest with 1 score. Top receiver Darius Slayton has added 435 yards and 1 touchdown.
Defensively, the Giants allow 25.8 points per game on average. The run defense has been poor, allowing over 150 rushing yards per contest. They’ve been middle of the pack against the pass but have generated only 17 sacks on the season. Forcing some turnovers and getting increased pressure could allow them to slow down the Packers. In particular, their lack of takeaways has been alarming, as they have secured just 8 total interceptions and 4 fumble recoveries on the year. A negative turnover margin makes it extremely difficult to string together wins. The Giants will need some unlikely heroes to step up for this defense to contain the dangerous Packers attack.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Against the Spread
The Packers have gone 4-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 5 games. They’ve also won 4 of their past 5 straight up. However, Green Bay has struggled on the road, going just 1-4 straight up in their last 5 away contests. The total has gone over in 5 of their last 7 road games against the Giants.
The Giants have seen 8 of their last 10 games go under the projected point total. They are just 3-7 straight up over their past 10 outings. However, when playing at home against Green Bay, the total has gone over in 8 of their last 11 matchups.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Free Pick
Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, the picks are as follows:
Moneyline: Packers -270
Despite their road struggles, the Packers have a more balanced and potent offense, which should prevail against the Giants.
Spread: Packers -5.5 (-120)
The Packers’ overall performance and offensive edge make them the favored team to cover the spread.
Total: 38 over (-111)
Considering both teams’ potential to put up points and past trends, the total is likely to go over.
Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 24, New York Giants 17
The most reliable pick in this matchup leans towards the Packers covering the spread. Their offensive capabilities, coupled with the Giants’ inconsistent performance, make them the safer bet. For sports betting in Canada and elsewhere, considering the teams’ past performances and current stats is crucial in making informed decisions. The Packers, with their superior offense, are expected to control the game, making them a solid pick for NFL Week 14.
