Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 11-12-23 NFL Week 10 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 11/12/23 – As we pivot into the latter half of the NFL season, the Week 10 game on Sunday, November 12, 2023, presents an interesting dynamic in the fabric of the league’s competitive tapestry. The Green Bay Packers (3-5) are set to square off against the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) in a contest that holds significant implications for both teams’ seasonal trajectories. This encounter, crucial for those crafting winning NFL picks, is scheduled at Acrisure Stadium, offering fans a showdown that is as unpredictable as it is exciting.

Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Date & Time: Sunday, November 12, at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Acrisure Stadium


Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 11/12/23 Betting Odds

Packers+140+3 (-110)37.5 over (-110)
Steelers-160-3 (-110)37.5 under (-110)

Green Bay Packers Analysis

Offensively, the Green Bay Packers have shown glimpses of their potential, particularly through the arm of Jordan Love. Love has logged 1,720 passing yards and 12 touchdowns, though his 8 interceptions and 59.6% completion rate suggest there is room for improvement. The ground game, spearheaded by AJ Dillon, has been less than dominant, averaging a modest 3.3 yards per carry, which underscores the need for more consistency in the rushing attack. Jayden Reed emerges as a glimmer of hope in the receiving corps, demonstrating an ability to stretch the field with 14.5 yards per catch.

On the defensive end, the Packers must shore up their resilience to maintain a fighting chance. Their recent track record indicates a struggle to contain opposing offenses, a trend that will need to be reversed if they are to stand a chance against the Steelers. Despite being 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh, their 1-4 SU record in their last 5 games paints a stark picture of a team in need of recalibration.

Pittsburgh Steelers Analysis

The Pittsburgh Steelers enter the fray with an offense that, while not explosive, has been efficient under the guidance of Kenny Pickett. Pickett, boasting a 61.3% completion rate and 1,490 passing yards, must focus on capitalizing in the red zone to enhance the Steelers’ scoring capacity. Najee Harris offers a dependable option in the backfield, tallying 382 rushing yards and proving to be a catalyst for Pittsburgh’s ground game. The dynamic George Pickens has been a breakout star at receiver, with an average of 17.4 yards per reception signaling a potent deep threat.

Defensively, the Steelers have been a unit of stability, which is reflected in their 9-3 record against the spread over the last 12 games. Their success is partly due to a disciplined defensive line that has consistently put pressure on quarterbacks. However, with Green Bay’s penchant for sudden offensive sparks, Pittsburgh’s defense will need to maintain their focus and capitalize on any turnovers they can force.

Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Against the Spread

The Green Bay Packers have not fared well against the spread, going 1-4 in their last 5 games. The total has consistently gone UNDER for Green Bay, doing so in 5 of their last 6 games, indicating a trend that might concern offensive-minded bettors. Conversely, Green Bay has managed to keep it close against the Steelers historically, beating the spread in 4 of the last 5 encounters.

The Steelers have been formidable against the spread, going 9-3 in their last 12 games. The total has also gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last games, mirroring Green Bay’s trends and suggesting a defensively dominated matchup may be on the horizon. Notably, Pittsburgh has dominated at home against Green Bay, going 5-0 SU in their last 5 games in this head-to-head at Acrisure Stadium.

Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Steelers -160

The Steelers’ solid performance against the spread and their home-field advantage make them the safer bet on the moneyline.

Spread: Packers +3 (-110)

Despite Green Bay’s overall struggles, they have a history of keeping it close against Pittsburgh, making them the pick to beat the spread.

Total: 37.5 under (-110)

Both teams have shown a consistent trend of hitting the UNDER, and their defensive capabilities are likely to lead to a low-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: Pittsburgh Steelers 20, Green Bay Packers 17

The most reliable pick for bettors, especially those frequenting Canadian betting websites, seems to be the UNDER on the total. Given both teams’ recent trends and the defensive strength of the Steelers at home, this Week 10 matchup is expected to be more about defensive prowess than offensive fireworks. With tight odds and both teams fighting to assert themselves, taking the UNDER appears to be the prudent choice in what promises to be a close and hard-fought game.