Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins 10-10-23 MLB ALDS Game 3 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins 10/10/23 – The MLB postseason is in full swing, and the showdown between the Houston Astros and the Minnesota Twins is grabbing all the headlines. As the series stands tied at 1-1, both teams are eager to take the advantage in this pivotal Game 3. With the starting pitchers revealed for both teams, bettors around the globe are searching for the winning MLB picks that could give them an edge.

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins

Date & Time: Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 4:07 PM ET

Location: Target Field


Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins 10/10/23 Betting Odds

Astros+118+1.5 (-184)8 over (-110)
Twins-128-1.5 (+164)8 under (-110)

Houston Astros Analysis

The Astros have been a powerhouse this season, showcasing their offensive dominance with a .259 batting average, accumulating a hefty 827 runs and 1441 hits. This robust offensive stat is complemented by their 222 home runs. Houston’s offensive machine has been a constant threat to opponents.

On the defensive front, Houston has been slightly shaky with a 3.94 ERA and a WHIP of 1.28. Their pitching staff has allowed 537 walks but has also managed to rack up an impressive 1460 strikeouts, indicating that while they’ve given up opportunities, they’ve also stifled many along the way.

Cristian Javier, Houston’s starting pitcher for the game, boasts a 10-5 win-loss record. Despite a somewhat elevated ERA of 4.56, his WHIP of 1.27 indicates a decent control over games. He has allowed 143 hits over 162 innings and has shown his skill with 159 strikeouts. For this matchup, Houston will rely on Javier to bring stability and try to contain the Twins’ offense.

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins have also showcased commendable offensive capabilities this season, with a batting average of .243. They’ve scored 778 runs and notched 1335 hits. Their prowess is evident in their 233 home runs, slightly surpassing the Astros in this regard, making them a formidable offensive opponent.

Defensively, the Twins slightly edge out the Astros with a 3.87 ERA and a WHIP of 1.2. Their pitching staff has been tighter in control, giving away 443 walks, and striking out an impressive 1560 batters, hinting at a stronger defensive lineup.

Sonny Gray, the Twins’ chosen starting pitcher, is expected to be a major asset in this matchup. With an 8-8 win-loss record, he has a solid ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.15. Gray’s 183 strikeouts over 184 innings pitched, with just 8 home runs allowed, indicate that he’s a force to be reckoned with on the mound.

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Against the Spread

The Houston Astros come into this game with some impressive statistics in their favor, especially when considering their recent form. They’ve registered a 5-1 SU in their last six encounters, a feat that becomes even more significant when noting their 6-1 SU record in their last seven games on the road. However, the Astros have shown a slight vulnerability when up against teams from the American League Central Division, as their 1-4 SU in their last five games against this division suggests. Their away record combined with these stats makes for a challenging prediction, but it also indicates that they’re no strangers to performing under pressure.

Conversely, the Minnesota Twins have also been in scintillating form, boasting an 11-4 SU in their last fifteen games. When playing at home, they’ve showcased their dominance with a commendable 5-1 SU in their last six matchups. Moreover, recent encounters between the Astros and the Twins hint towards a higher run aggregate, with four of Minnesota’s last five games against Houston going OVER. The Twins have also displayed consistent strength when up against teams from the American League West Division, marking a 6-2 SU in their last eight games against them. Given these stats, the Twins seem to have the momentum and the home advantage, factors that could play a crucial role in this pivotal Game 3.

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Twins -128

Given the Twins recent home game performances and Sonny Gray’s strong stats, they have the edge.

Spread: Astros +1.5 (-184)

The Astros’ recent form suggests they can keep the game close.

Total: 8 over (-110)

Considering both teams’ offensive stats and their previous head-to-head matchups, an over bet seems promising.

Predicted Score: Minnesota Twins 5, Houston Astros 4

In wrapping up, the most reliable pick to consider for Canadian online betting enthusiasts would be the Moneyline favoring the Twins. Their recent form combined with Sonny Gray’s consistent pitching gives them a slight edge in what promises to be an exhilarating Game 3 of the ALDS.