Houston Cougars vs Kansas State Wildcats 10-28-23 NCAAF Week 9 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats 10/28/23 – The clock is ticking down to one of the most intriguing match-ups in NCAAF Week 9, as the Houston Cougars prepare to face off against the Kansas State Wildcats. As the Cougars stand at a 3-4 win-loss record and the Wildcats at a more favorable 5-2, this game promises to be a display of strategy, skill, and sheer grit. For those searching for some tantalizing NCAAF picks and prediction, read on to get the lowdown on this electrifying contest.

Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Date & Time: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium


Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats 10/28/23 Betting Odds

Houston+450+13.5 (-115)59.5 over (-112)
Kansas State-1000-13.5 (-115)59.5 under (-110)

Houston Cougars Analysis

The Houston Cougars’ offense, led by the prodigious Donovan Smith, paints a picture of a team with immense potential. Smith, with 177 completions out of 265 attempts and accumulating 1,979 passing yards, represents the driving force behind their aerial dominance. With a completion rate of 66.8% and 16 touchdowns, he’s been instrumental in keeping the scoreboard ticking for the Cougars. On the ground, running back Parker Jenkins complements the passing game with 265 rushing yards. Additionally, wide receiver Samuel Brown’s outstanding average of 15.3 yards per reception with 629 receiving yards underscores the depth and diversity of the Cougars’ offensive lineup.

However, defense remains a sticking point for Houston. Despite their offensive prowess, they’ve shown susceptibility, particularly against teams that press high. Their defensive line has struggled to protect Smith, evident from the 18 sacks he’s endured, resulting in a loss of 110 yards over the season. For the Cougars to turn the tide against the Wildcats, there will be a pressing need to fortify their defenses, ensure better protection for Smith, and capitalize on offensive plays to keep the Wildcats at bay.

Kansas State Wildcats Analysis

The Kansas State Wildcats have been a beacon of consistency in their offensive outings this season. At the heart of this success is quarterback Will Howard, who has thrown for 1,464 yards, achieving a 61.6% completion rate. His 12 touchdowns, juxtaposed against 7 interceptions, indicate room for improvement but also reflect his crucial role in driving the team forward. Furthermore, the ground game, spearheaded by DJ Giddens, provides a balanced approach to their offensive strategy. Giddens’ impressive 626 rushing yards at an average of 6.1 yards per rush speaks to his efficiency and potency.

Conversely, while the Wildcats’ offense thrives, defensive vulnerabilities have surfaced at times. The defense, in particular, has struggled against fast-paced offenses, and Howard’s 7 interceptions showcase moments of lapse in concentration. To cement their position against a team as offensively potent as the Cougars, Kansas State needs to tighten their defensive formations, especially in the secondary. Minimizing errors and capitalizing on the Cougars’ defensive lapses will be key to ensuring a victory.

Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats Against the Spread

Recent betting trends for the Cougars highlight their struggle in maintaining consistency. Despite the total going OVER in 4 of their last 6 games, they stand 2-4 SU in their recent games. Their history against Big 12 conference teams, specifically a 1-9 SU in their last 10 games, further accentuates their challenges.

On the other hand, the Wildcats seem to be in a strong position, with a 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. Their home advantage, where they stand 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games, makes them even more formidable. However, their record against American Athletic Conference teams, specifically a 1-7 ATS, might be a point of concern.

Houston Cougars vs. Kansas State Wildcats Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Kansas State -1000 

Given the Kansas State Wildcats recent form and home advantage.

Spread: Kansas State -13.5 (-115) 

The Kansas State Wildcats offensive potency and home record suggest they can cover the spread.

Total: 59.5 over (-112)

Considering the offensive capabilities of both teams, an over seems plausible.

Predicted Score: Kansas State Wildcats 38, Houston Cougars 24

In conclusion, this game promises to be an exciting face-off between two formidable teams. While the Cougars have shown moments of brilliance, the Wildcats, with their home advantage, appear to have the upper hand. For those interested in sports betting in Canada, the Wildcats covering the spread seems to be the most reliable pick for this encounter.