Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills NFL AFC Divisional Playoffs Betting Picks and Prediction for Sunday, January 21, 2024

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills – The AFC Divisional Playoffs stage is set for a titanic clash as the Kansas City Chiefs, holding an 11-6 record, travel to Highmark Stadium to face the equally formidable Buffalo Bills, also at 11-6. This Sunday showdown promises to be a spectacle of high-octane football. As the Best Sportsbook in Canada would concur, this matchup isn’t just a battle of two teams; it’s a showcase of two of the NFL’s most dynamic squads vying for supremacy and a spot in the AFC Championship Game.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

Date & Time: Sunday, January 21, 2024, at 6:30 PM ET

Location: Highmark Stadium


Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Odds

Chiefs+127+2.5 (+100)46.5 over (-110)
Buffalo Bills-147-2.5 (-120)46.5 under (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

Offensively, the Chiefs have been an offensive powerhouse. Led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes – with 23 completions out of 41 attempts, 262 passing yards, and an 83.6 passer rating – their success cannot be denied. Isiah Pacheco has proven himself invaluable as their ground player with 89 yards rushing during their last game. Rashee Rice provides deep threat for their wide receiver position with 130 receiving yards and one touchdown already this season.

Kansas City’s defense has shown signs of strain. Five out of six games resulting in totals being UNDER suggests both strong defense as well as an offense struggling to score high scores. Their performance on the road has been remarkable, winning 10 out of 12 matches while Kansas City must strengthen their defensive line and secondary to stop Buffalo’s high scoring offense and maintain their unrivalled streak against AFC rivals.

Buffalo Bills Analysis

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen has led an impressive offensive performance. His 70% completion rate and 121.9 passer rating highlight his efficiency and decision-making skills; connecting with Stefon Diggs (52 receiving yards), was especially instrumental to their success. Meanwhile, James Cook averages 4.4 yards per rush adds another dimension to their offensive gameplan, making the Bills an unstoppable opponent.

Buffalo Bills have proven their defensive strength by consistently going UNDER in 13 of 20 games against Kansas City since 2006, including going 6-1-0 SU in their last seven home matches. Buffalo will look to maintain this solid defensive play while looking for any weaknesses in Kansas City’s armour that might exist, especially given their success against AFC conference teams.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Against the Spread

The Chiefs are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) over their last 6 games. Kansas City is also 16-3 straight up over their last 19 games against AFC opponents and 10-2 straight up over their last 12 road games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Chiefs’ last 6 games.

The Bills are 4-2 ATS over their last 6 contests. Buffalo is 6-1 straight up over their last 7 home games. The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the Bills’ last 20 matchups with the Chiefs, including 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 road games against Buffalo.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Buffalo Bills (-147). The Bills moneyline may seem expensive, but Buffalo has the more complete roster and home field on their side. Lay the chalk and trust Josh Allen and the Bills.

Spread: Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-120). Getting nearly a field goal with the Bills at home feels like stealing. Buffalo has a fierce pass rush to fluster Mahomes while the Chiefs defense bleeds yards to good offenses.

Total: Under 46.5 (-110). This could easily turn into a defensive slugfest. The weather in Buffalo in January tends to limit explosive plays while both defenses have talented playmakers. Expect a grind-it-out, lower-scoring affair between these AFC heavyweights.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 24, Kansas City Chiefs 20

The most reliable pick in this NFL Divisional Playoffs daily picks scenario seems to be the Bills covering the spread. With their robust defense and efficient offense, especially at home, the Bills are well-positioned to not only win but also cover the -2.5 spread. The under on the total points also looks promising, considering the defensive prowess shown by both teams in recent games.