Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 9-17-23 NFL Tips, Analysis, and Best Picks

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 9/17/23 – Week 2 of the NFL season is upon us, and it brings a marquee matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Led by top respective quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs and Trevor Lawrence for the Jaguars, this promises to be an electrifying contest. As we dive into the numbers, performances, and trends, it’s crucial to keep an eye out for NFL picks today that offer real value.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Date & Time: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: EverBank Stadium


Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 9/17/23 Betting Odds

Chiefs-165-3 (-113)51 over (-115)
Jaguars+145+3 (-10751 under (-105)

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

Kansas City comes into this game on the back of a Week 1 loss. Patrick Mahomes posted numbers that were decent, but not at his usual MVP-level. Completing just over half of his 39 pass attempts, Mahomes had 226 yards through the air, 2 touchdowns, and an interception. The Chiefs will be hoping for a bounce-back performance from their star QB.

The run game was particularly weak in Week 1, with Isiah Pacheco logging just 23 yards on 8 carries. This lack of a run game put extra pressure on Mahomes and could be a vulnerability that the Jaguars look to exploit.

In the receiving department, Marquez Valdes-Scantling pulled down 2 receptions for 48 yards. However, it’s worth noting that he was targeted only twice. Expanding his involvement could be crucial to diversifying the Chiefs’ attack.

Jacksonville Jaguars Analysis

Trevor Lawrence showcased why he was a first-overall pick in his debut. With a 75% completion rate, he threw for 241 yards, adding two TDs and an interception. While the offensive line allowed two sacks, it’s not a significant concern yet.

The run game was more effective for Jacksonville, as Travis Etienne Jr. recorded 77 yards on 18 attempts and found the end zone once. If Etienne continues to be productive, he could provide the balance that takes the pressure off Lawrence.

Calvin Ridley was Lawrence’s favorite target, catching 8 passes on 11 targets for 101 yards and a touchdown. This chemistry could prove to be a significant factor as the season progresses.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Against the Spread

Betting aficionados would do well to pay close attention to the history of these two teams. The Chiefs have an overwhelming 8-1 straight-up (SU) record in their last 9 games. When it comes to matchups against the Jaguars, the Chiefs are 7-0 SU and 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in the last eight encounters. Additionally, they have a solid 9-2 SU record in their last 11 road games.

The Jaguars have been underdogs that bite back, with a 7-1 ATS record in their last eight outings. Notably, the total has gone under in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games, and they’ve managed to carve out a 5-0 SU record in their last five home games.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Free Pick

Here are the recommended picks for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars matchup:

Moneyline: Chiefs -165

The Chiefs are favored here, but their recent loss and the Jaguars’ home strength make this a closer call than some might think. Nevertheless, Mahomes’ experience should tip the scale. 

Spread: Chiefs -3 (-113)

Though both teams have their merits, the Chiefs have a historic upper hand against the Jaguars. Therefore, it seems reasonable to lean on Kansas City to cover the spread. Pick: Kansas City Chiefs Spread -3 (-113)

Total: 51 under (-105)

Both teams have shown defensive prowess, and their recent trends indicate that a low-scoring game could be on the horizon. Betting the under looks promising.

Prediction: 20-24 Kansas City Chiefs win

In this star-studded quarterback matchup, it’s going to be a battle of wills, skills, and strategies. Both teams have explosive offensive weapons and have shown signs of defensive stability. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, the spread, or the total, ensure you’re getting the best bang for your buck by checking out the top sportsbook in Canada. This clash provides not just a spectacle for football fans but also fertile ground for bettors looking for smart plays. Don’t miss it!