Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers 11-19-23 NFL Week 11 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers 11/19/23 – As we enter Week 11 of the NFL season, the matchup between Los Angeles Chargers and Green Bay Packers has garnered significant attention. Both squads, sitting 4-5 and 3-6 respectively, needing wins in order to remain playoff contenders and this Sunday’s game at Lambeau Field on November 19 is set to be an epic battle – something bettors using top sportsbooks in Canada are paying close attention to! Fans and bettors alike are keeping tabs on its unfolding dynamics and potential outcomes with great anticipation.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers

Date & Time: Sunday, November 19, at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Lambeau Field


Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Odds

Chargers-135-2.5 (-118)42.5 over (-106)
Packers +115+2.5 (-104)42.5 under (-116)

Los Angeles Chargers Analysis

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has led them to an effective offense this year. With an impressive completion rate of 67.1% and 17 touchdowns to his name, Herbert’s impressive stats highlight his ability to move the ball effectively through the air, with Keenan Allen amassing 895 receiving yards and six touchdowns from just 11 receptions. Unfortunately for them though, Joshua Kelley has been less effective as their ground game quarterback; with 339 rushing yards per carry and an acceptable 4.3 yards per carry average not enough for them to truly dominate against rival opponents.

Defensively, the Chargers have shown both strength and weakness. Their primary challenge has been maintaining consistency when applying pressure or stopping runs – something which will prove key against an Packers offense that exploits any defensive lapses. Third-down conversions and red-zone stops must improve in order to limit scoring from Green Bay’s offense; specifically disrupting Jordan Love’s rhythm will force him into hurried decisions that could potentially result in turnovers by their defense.

Green Bay Packers Analysis

Green Bay’s offense this year has been inconsistent due to Jordan Love‘s inconsistent play. His 2009 passing yards and 14 touchdowns are impressive, yet his 58.7% completion rate and 10 interceptions raise serious concerns over his decision-making under pressure. If Green Bay hopes to succeed against an opposing defense like Los Angeles Chargers that capitalizes on turnovers, Love must demonstrate superior accuracy and judgment under pressure. Meanwhile, running back AJ Dillon has proven somewhat successful, amassing 376 yards on the ground; yet for control and keeping out Chargers offense, Dillon must consistently prove himself more in short yardage/red zone situations.

Defense has never been one of Green Bay’s strong points, especially against high-powered offenses like San Diego. Their main priority should be managing their opponent’s aerial attack – specifically quarterback Justin Herbert’s ability to throw passes to Allen while simultaneously creating consistent pressure with their defensive line, forcing hurried throws or disrupting pocket pressure can significantly decrease Chargers offensive efficiency.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers Against the Spread

The Chargers have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups against Green Bay, going 2-6 in their last eight matches against them and often going under totals on road games or against NFC North opponents.

Conversely, the Packers have not fared much better ATS, posting a 1-5 record in their last six games. Nonetheless, they have shown impressive form against Los Angeles Chargers when playing at home, going 4-1 SU over their past five home contests at Lambeau Field against them – suggesting a potential edge for Green Bay over Los Angeles Chargers in Lambeau Field.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Packers +115

Despite their struggles, the Packers’ strong home record against the Chargers and the ability to exploit LA’s defensive weaknesses tilt the odds in their favor.

Spread: Packers +2.5 (-104)

Green Bay’s home advantage and the Chargers’ recent ATS struggles make the Packers an appealing pick against the spread.

Total: 42.5 under (-116)

Given both teams’ tendency to go UNDER and their current offensive inconsistencies, the total score is likely to be on the lower side.

Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 21, Los Angeles Chargers 17
While the Chargers possess an efficient offense, the Packers’ home-field advantage and track record against LA make them an appealing pick against the spread. This matchup marks an important test for both teams; among expert NFL picks, it appears that picking on the Packers may be most reliable due to their underdog value and propensity for low scoring contests between them both.