Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots NFL Week 13 Betting Picks and Prediction for Sunday, December 3, 2023

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots NFL Week 13 – The 4-6 Los Angeles Chargers will head across the country to face the 2-9 New England Patriots this Sunday afternoon. Sports betting in Canada continues to surge in popularity for marquee NFL matchups like this AFC showdown. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET from Gillette Stadium, broadcast by CBS.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots

Date & Time: Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Gillette Stadium


Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots NFL Week 13 Betting Odds

Chargers-205-4.5 (-111)42.5 over (-111)
Patriots+173+4.5 (-11142.5 under (-111)

Los Angeles Chargers Analysis

Despite loads of offensive talent, the Chargers have underwhelmed so far this season with a 4-6 record. Quarterback Justin Herbert is having another strong individual year with 2609 passing yards and 19 touchdowns. Dynamic running back Austin Ekeler leads a capable ground attack, even though he’s battled injuries. Keenan Allen and Mike Williams form one of the NFL’s elite receiving duos as well. But critical mistakes and poor defense have led to Los Angeles struggling to finish close games. For the Chargers to stay alive in the AFC playoff race, they must play complete team football down the stretch.

The main concern lies with the Los Angeles defense that ranks second-worst in points allowed. There are minimal difference-makers rushing the quarterback or shutting down opposing aerial assaults. To upset New England on the road, veterans like Khalil Mack, Derwin James and Bryce Callahan must lead an sudden resurgence on defense. Limiting mistakes will also prove paramount toward getting back to .500.

New England Patriots Analysis

Hopes were high for New England after returning to the playoffs last season but the post-Brady era has taken a turn for the worse so far. While not completely his fault, quarterback Mac Jones has regressed mightily in year two. Jones has already matched 2021’s interception total with 10 picks to just 10 touchdowns. His receiving corps also lacks reliable playmakers. The Patriots offense ranks dead-last in red zone efficiency as well near just 17 points per game. For New England to be competitive, Jones must regain his rookie composure.

The normally steady Patriots defense has backslid considerably in 2022 also. After allowing the 2nd fewest points last season, New England ranks 20th now. There simply hasn’t been enough disruption generated up front while the secondary has sprung leaks. Veterans like Matthew Judon, Devin McCourty and Kyle Duggar must help restore form before the season completely slips away. Pulling the mild upset here would provide hope moving ahead.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots Against the Spread

The trends overwhelmingly favor New England in this matchup given their historic dominance over the Chargers franchise. Los Angeles is 0-7 straight up and ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Patriots – failing mightily to cover in recent affairs. Even with rookie quarterbacks, Bill Belichick has mystified the Chargers.

However, these are vastly different teams this year with Los Angeles much more talented on paper. The Chargers are due to finally flip the script and their offensive playmaking should shine through on Sunday.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots Free Pick

Based on the odds, trends, and team stats, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Chargers -205

The upset-minded Patriots can’t be fully counted out. But the smarter play is backing the superior Chargers roster to win on the road.

Spread: Chargers -4.5 (-111)

Laying less than a touchdown, the Chargers have a chance to finally stomp their Patriots’ struggles. Their offense leads the way toward covering this number.

Total: 42.5 over (-111)

In a contest where Los Angeles should control most of the tempo, expect an uptick in scoring from both sides here.

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Chargers 30, New England Patriots 20

Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers have too many weapons for the Patriots defense to contain. Back Los Angeles to win and cover in Foxboro while the total sneaks over. Take advantage of the top football free picks for all of Week 13.