Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10-11-23 MLB NLDS Game 3 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10/11/23 – With the NLDS series tilting in favor of the Arizona Diamondbacks at a surprising 2-0 lead against the formidable Los Angeles Dodgers, the pressure is palpable for Game 3. Both teams are determined, showcasing their season-long performances, but the matchup between starting pitchers Lance Lynn and Brandon Pfaadt is one that many anticipate. Those on the lookout for the most precise MLB daily picks would do well to consider the data on hand.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Date & Time: Wednesday, October 11, 2023, at 9:07 PM ET

Location: Chase Field


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 10/11/23 Betting Odds

Dodgers-142-1.5 (+105)9.5 over (-120)
Diamondbacks+130+1.5 (-125)9.5 under (+100)

Los Angeles Dodgers Analysis

The Dodgers, throughout the MLB season, have exhibited remarkable offensive prowess. Sporting a batting average of 0.257 and a commendable tally of 906 runs, they’ve been consistent in their offensive pursuits. Their 1422 hits and a hefty 249 home runs further substantiate their reputation. With an on-base percentage of 0.340 and a slugging percentage of 0.455, the Dodgers have a keen knack for capitalizing on opportunities and generating runs.

Defensively, the Dodgers have showcased robustness with a solid ERA of 4.06. Their WHIP of 1.2 suggests commendable control, and with 1388 strikeouts this season, they’ve proved adept at destabilizing opposing batters.

Starting for the Dodgers, Lance Lynn comes in with a 7-2 win-loss record. Despite an ERA of 4.36, he has shown potential over his 64 innings this season. With 47 strikeouts and an ability to restrict big hits, Lynn will be crucial in this do-or-die matchup for the Dodgers.

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Arizona Diamondbacks, despite being the underdogs on paper, have been impressive. They hold a batting average of 0.250, producing 746 runs over the season. Their 1359 hits and 166 home runs highlight their ability to change the game with just a few swings. Their on-base percentage of 0.322 and slugging percentage of 0.408 indicate a balanced offensive approach.

On the defensive front, the Diamondbacks have an ERA of 4.48, a bit higher than their opponents. Their WHIP of 1.32 hints at some challenges, but with 1351 strikeouts, they’ve had their moments of brilliance on the mound.

Brandon Pfaadt, their starting pitcher for Game 3, has a win-loss record of 3-9, with an ERA of 5.72 over 96 innings. While his record may seem unimpressive, Pfaadt’s 94 strikeouts indicate his capability to turn the tide, especially in high-pressure situations.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Against the Spread

For the Dodgers, recent betting trends suggest a propensity for low-scoring games, with the total going UNDER in 4 of their last 5. They’ve had a shaky 2-4 SU in their last 6 games, but their record against the Diamondbacks is a bit more reassuring, going 5-2 SU in their last 7.

Conversely, the Diamondbacks are riding a wave of confidence with a 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. Particularly at home, they’ve been formidable with a 6-3 SU record in their last 9 home games. Betting trends have also shown a consistent UNDER in totals when the Diamondbacks play the Dodgers at home.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Considering the odds, trends, team stats, and starting pitchers, the picks are:

Moneyline: Dodgers -142 

Despite the series tilt, the Dodgers’ overall season performance suggests they could bounce back.

Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+105)

Given the Los Angeles Dodgers head-to-head record and the pressure of the situation, they are expected to come out swinging.

Total: 9.5 under (+100)

Both teams have shown trends leaning towards low-scoring games, making the under a sensible pick.

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5, Arizona Diamondbacks 3

To conclude, while the series has been surprising with the Diamondbacks leading, the Dodgers’ season-long performance and the stakes involved might tilt Game 3 in their favor. For those considering online sportsbook in Canada, the spread on the Dodgers presents the most favorable odds for this matchup.