Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers 11-5-23 NFL Week 9 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers 11/5/23 – In the heart of the NFL season, Week 9 brings us a showdown between the Los Angeles Rams (3-5) and the Green Bay Packers (2-5). Both teams, albeit underwhelming in their performance thus far, are gearing up for a fierce battle at Lambeau Field. With a tight spread and a historic venue as the backdrop, determining the NFL winning pick will undoubtedly be a tough call for even the savviest of punters.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers

Date & Time: Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Lambeau Field


Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers 11/5/23 Betting Odds

Rams-115-0.5 (-112)44.5 over (-103)
Packers-105+0.5 (-110)44.5 under (-119)

Los Angeles Rams Analysis

Los Angeles Rams come into this matchup with a 3-5 record, and their offensive strategy heavily relies on veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford. Stafford has been instrumental in propelling his team forward, amassing 2070 passing yards at an average completion rate of 59.7% with 7 interceptions being thrown showing his weaknesses under pressure and decision making under duress. Puka Nacua has proven himself an indispensable member of Stafford’s receiver corps, amassing 795 yards over 8 games to provide him with reliable options during key moments. Kyren Williams has led an effective ground game as well, averaging 76 yards per game and scoring 6 touchdowns to contribute towards Rams scoring efforts.

However, the Rams’ offensive line has shown signs of weakness against aggressive defensive lines, allowing 19 sacks on Stafford – a worrying statistic which requires immediate attention from coaches and management. This vulnerability could impede their passing game putting extra pressure on their running game to perform consistently. Defensively they’ve had their struggles but must find ways to pressure Jordan Love and disrupt Packers offensive rhythm while being aware of potential receiving options that pose threats from these opponents.

Green Bay Packers Analysis

The Green Bay Packers’ season hasn’t gone as expected, as evidenced by their subpar record (2-5). On both sides of the ball, their struggles have been apparent. Jordan Love has struggled to establish consistency in his game on offense, evidenced by a 57% completion rate and unfavorable touchdown-to-interception ratio. The Packers have struggled to stretch the field and create big plays, with their longest pass completion reaching only 77 yards. Jayden Reed has not provided enough to spark the Packers’ passing game; therefore they will need to address it prior to entering this matchup. Running back AJ Dillon has also not been particularly productive, averaging only 38 rushing yards per game on average; therefore they need him to step up and provide balance for their offensive attack.

Defense wise, the Packers face the daunting task of slowing down a Rams offense with the capability of scoring points quickly. Their secondary must remain alert against Stafford who has the experience and skill set to exploit any defensive gaps while applying consistent pressure in an effort to force Stafford into making mistakes. They have found some success against the spread when playing at home against them in previous meetings but must ensure strong performances on both sides of the ball in order to overcome a Rams team looking to turn things around this season.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Against the Spread

The Rams, despite some bright moments this season, have a troubling betting trend. They are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games against the Packers and have struggled in their road games, going 2-9 SU in their last 11. Their recent games have also been low scoring, with the total going UNDER in 6 of their last 9.

On the other hand, Green Bay, while struggling in their own right, has had some betting success against the Rams. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against the Rams. But the Packers have also struggled with low-scoring games, with the total going UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games at home.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Packers -105

The Packers’ record at home against the Rams, combined with playing at the historic Lambeau Field, gives them a slight edge.

Spread: Packers +0.5 (-110) 

Given the tight spread and the Rams’ struggles on the road, Packers seem to be a safer bet with the points.

Total: 44.5 under (-119)

Considering the betting trends for both teams and their recent low-scoring games, the UNDER seems like the probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 21, Los Angeles Rams 17

In conclusion, while this game presents challenges in picking a clear winner, the Packers seem to have a slight edge, especially when considering the home advantage. For those in bettors, the best sportsbook in Canada would likely concur with these analyses, given the past trends and performances of both teams. Whatever the outcome, this promises to be a clash worth watching.