Maryland Terrapins vs Northwestern Wildcats 10-28-23 NCAAF Week 9 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats 10/28/23 – As Week 9 rolls on, every game becomes increasingly significant for bowl eligibility and conference standings. Maryland is off to an impressive 5-2 start while Northwestern struggles for consistency, thus making this matchup all the more anticipated among fans and bettors alike. Fans looking for NCAAF winning picks shouldn’t miss this one.

Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Date & Time: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Location: Ryan Field


Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats 10/28/23 Betting Odds

Maryland -699-10.5 (-115)47.5 over (-115)
Northwestern+300+10.5 (-115)47.5 under (-108)

Maryland Terrapins Analysis

The Terrapins, under the leadership of Taulia Tagovailoa, have flourished offensively this season. With a completion percentage of 63.9% and 1,926 yards in his pocket, Tagovailoa stands as a beacon of consistency for Maryland. His 16 touchdowns against just 5 interceptions underline his efficiency. Supporting him in the air, wide receiver Jeshaun Jones, who has averaged an impressive 15.5 yards per catch, provides an excellent outlet for Tagovailoa. On the ground, Roman Hemby, with an average of 4.9 yards per rush attempt, offers a reliable rushing option, ensuring that Maryland’s offense isn’t one-dimensional.

On the defensive side, while the Terrapins have shown moments of brilliance, they’ve also exhibited vulnerabilities, particularly on the road. Their trend towards lower-scoring games away from home indicates a defensive strategy that, while limiting their own scoring potential, also restricts their opponents’. Against a team like Northwestern, known for its unpredictability, Maryland’s defense will need to stay sharp, particularly against the pass. Ensuring coverage on key players like Bryce Kirtz and keeping pressure on quarterback Ben Bryant will be crucial.

Northwestern Wildcats Analysis

Ben Bryant, the Wildcats’ quarterback, has been a silver lining in what has been a challenging season for Northwestern. With 926 yards and a passer rating of 115.9, Bryant has showcased resilience, especially when connecting with wide receiver Bryce Kirtz. Kirtz’s 15.7 yards per reception average and his ability to stretch the field with an 80-yard reception as his longest have made him a key offensive weapon. Complementing the passing game, running back Cam Porter, though not as explosive, provides a steady option on the ground.

However, the defensive side of the ball paints a slightly murkier picture for the Wildcats. Their record in the Big Ten and against the East Division opponents suggests they struggle against high-caliber offenses, of which Maryland is undoubtedly one. Northwestern’s defense, while showing sparks of tenacity, has struggled to maintain consistency, often allowing opponents to capitalize on crucial plays. Against the Terrapins, the Wildcats will need to be wary of the aerial threat posed by Tagovailoa and Jones, while also ensuring they clog up running lanes to restrict Hemby.

Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats Against the Spread

Maryland’s betting trends lean towards the UNDER, especially in road games and against Big Ten opposition. Their 0-7 ATS record against West Division teams is a concerning statistic for bettors. However, their 7-2 SU in the last nine games demonstrates their winning capability.

Conversely, Northwestern’s performance at home suggests higher-scoring games, with the total going OVER in 4 of their last 5 home games. Yet, their overall track record in the Big Ten and against East Division opponents is disheartening, marked by multiple SU losses.

Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Maryland -699

Given the Maryland Terrapins better record and potent offense, Maryland is the safer pick to secure a victory.

Spread: Maryland -10.5 (-115)

Despite the Wildcats’ home advantage, Maryland’s offense is likely to cover the spread, given their recent performances.

Total: 47.5 under (-108) 

Considering both teams’ recent trends, a defensive contest is anticipated, making the UNDER a compelling choice.

Predicted Score: Maryland Terrapins 28, Northwestern Wildcats 14

In conclusion, for those scouting the best betting sites in Canada, this matchup offers an intriguing opportunity. While Maryland stands as the favorite, the unpredictable nature of college football means anything can happen. Regardless, our analysis suggests a Terrapin victory, making them the most reliable pick in this clash.