Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots 9-17-23 NFL Picks, Odds, and Analysis

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots 9/17/23 – As we head into Week 2 of the NFL season, a tantalizing match-up is on the horizon, featuring the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots. With both teams’ starting quarterbacks—Tua Tagovailoa for the Dolphins and Mac Jones for the Patriots—ready to showcase their skills, this game offers plenty of intrigue for those looking for the best NFL picks this weekend. The clash is scheduled for September 17, 2023, at 8:20 PM ET at Gillette Stadium, and will be televised on NBC.

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots

Date & Time: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 8:20 PM ET

Location: Gillette Stadium


Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots 9/17/23 Betting Odds

Dolphins-145-2.5 (-111)46.5 over (-110)
Patriots+125+2.5 (-109)46.5 under (-110)

Miami Dolphins Analysis

The Dolphins’ offense appears rejuvenated under the leadership of Tua Tagovailoa. In Week 1, Tua completed 28 of 45 passes with a 62.2% completion rate, accumulating an impressive 466 yards. His longest throw stretched for 47 yards and he tossed 3 touchdowns, indicating his arm strength and decision-making abilities. The quarterback seems to have a good understanding with his go-to receiver Tyreek Hill, who racked up 215 receiving yards with an eye-watering 19.5 yards per reception in their last game.

The ground game for Miami seems to be in the capable hands of Raheem Mostert. He attempted 10 rushes and netted 37 yards, including a crucial touchdown, in Week 1. However, the 3.7 yards per attempt indicate there might be room for improvement.

New England Patriots Analysis

On the opposite side, Mac Jones, the Patriots’ rookie sensation, appears ready to bring his A-game to this encounter. He displayed a 64.8% completion rate with 316 yards in his opening game of the season. Although he was sacked twice, his composure in the pocket is something to look out for.

Ezekiel Elliott, the Patriots’ running back, could use some additional touches to prove his worth. In Week 1, he managed just 29 rushing yards off 7 attempts, but his 4.1 yards per rush suggest that he could be effective if utilized more. Kendrick Bourne, the wide receiver, showed his red-zone efficiency by grabbing two touchdowns in the opening game.

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Against the Spread

Narratively speaking, the betting trends offer fascinating insights into what might unfold. Miami has been exceptional against the spread (ATS), going 5-1 in their last 6 games. Even more interestingly, they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against the Patriots, which suggests they have had New England’s number recently. However, it’s crucial to note that despite these trends, Miami is 2-6 straight up (SU) in their last 8 games, indicating some inconsistencies in their play.

On the other hand, the Patriots have had their struggles, both ATS and SU. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games and 1-4 SU in their last 5 outings. However, the Patriots have traditionally been strong at home against the Dolphins, boasting a 12-2 SU record in their last 14 home games against this opponent.

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Free Pick

Armed with more information about team dynamics, player performances and betting trends, it’s time to consider predictions and picks that could prove lucrative for bettors.

Moneyline: Dolphins -145

Based on the recent form and key player analysis, it seems wise to back Miami on the Moneyline. Their offense appears more versatile and potent at this juncture.

Spread: Dolphins -2.5

Given Miami’s recent ATS record against New England, taking them to cover the -2.5 spread seems like a smart bet.

Total: 46.5 over (-110)

Both teams have key players who can put points on the board. With the total trends for both teams leaning towards the Over, this could turn into a high-scoring affair.

Prediction: 21-27 Miami Dolphins win

This Week 2 matchup between the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots promises to be an electric affair, ripe for sports betting in Canada or wherever you place your wagers. As both teams bring their young quarterbacks into a game filled with divisional implications, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Make your bets wisely and enjoy what promises to be an exhilarating contest!