Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks 5-10-23 MLB Analysis, Odds and Picks

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks 5/10/23 – On Wednesday afternoon, the Miami Marlins take on the Arizona Diamondbacks for their three-game series finale. The Marlins send Edward Cabrera out on the mound while the Diamondbacks counter with Merrill Kelly; thus far this season series stands 2-2. The Arizona Diamondbacks are expected to win this game according to the latest baseball betting odds.

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks 

Date & Time: Wednesday, May 10, 2023 at 3:40 PM ET

Location: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks 5/10/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: +130

Spread: +1.5 (-154)

Total: 9 over (-110)


Moneyline: -141

Spread: -1.5 (+134)

Total: 9 under (-110)

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

On Wednesday, Edward Cabrera will take the mound for the Miami Marlins. Cabrera turned in another strong performance against the Cubs in last outing, allowing only three runs over five innings and striking out five batters for a 4-1 defeat that drops his overall record to 2-3 on the year. Young right-hander with tremendous pitches but command issues; having walked 26 batters. Cabrera holds a 4.78 ERA and 1.66 WHIP over 32 innings pitched – this marks his debut against Arizona. 

Miami have lost two consecutive series, being swept at home against the Braves before losing two out of three meetings against the Cubs this past weekend. The struggle is caused by ineffective offense. While scoring eight runs over three games against the Cubs, only two runs were scored during Monday’s loss. Miami is scoring an average of 3.28 runs per game and holds a 4.62 team ERA which ranks them 21st.

Merrill Kelly will make his eighth start of the year. Kelly delivered another outstanding performance against the Nationals in his most recent start, holding them to just one run over seven innings and striking out 10 batters for a 3-1 victory. Diamondbacks ace Merrill Kelly has continued his remarkable season with an outstanding 2.75 ERA and 1.19 WHIP combined with a 3-3 record in 39.1 innings pitched, only surrendering three homers along the way. Kelly has struggled against the Marlins, compiling an 0-2 record and an alarming 6.75 ERA across 17.1 innings pitched against them.

Arizona continues to shine. On weekends, they completed the series win against the Nationals by scoring 19 runs against the opponents pitching. The young Diamondbacks have shown extraordinary dominance at home this year, winning four of five series they’ve completed. They have only experienced one home series loss this season against the Padres last month. Arizona remains strong at bat and averages 5.28 runs per game to rank seventh overall in scoring average. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.81 team ERA – placing them 23rd.

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Against the Spread

Under is 3-0-1 in Cabrera’s last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 8-0 in the Marlins last 8 vs. National League West. Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Under is 6-1 in Cabrera’s last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Under is 5-0 in Kelly’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-0 in Kelly’s last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 4-0-1 in Kelly’s last 5 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 Wednesday games.

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

The Miami Marlins have fallen on hard times, losing six out of their last seven games. The Arizona Diamondbacks are in fine form and only half a game behind first place. Merrill Kelly has proven himself reliable with three wins out of his four starts for Arizona. In two consecutive outings he restricted opponents to only one run each. Diamondbacks are expecting to sweep the Marlins in this match easily according to baseball betting trends.

Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -141