Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs 5-6-23 MLB Analysis, Best Picks and Odds

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs 5/6/23 – Just recently, these teams faced off, with the Miami Marlins defeating the Chicago Cubs in Florida. Now, the series has moved north of Chicago as Wrigley Field will host these teams for three matches. On Friday afternoon, the first game took place and saw the home team claim a 4-1 victory over their opposition. The home team will be winning this game again as predicted by the best baseball betting sites.

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs

Date & Time: Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 2:20 PM ET

Location: Wrigley Field Chicago, IL


Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs 5/6/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: +157

Spread: +1.5 (-130)

Total: 9 over (-110)


Moneyline: -171

Spread: -1.5 (+110)

Total: 9 under (-110)

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Analysis

The Miami Marlins have now lost six out of seven matches against the Atlanta Braves after getting swept by them this week. Miami entered this series 15-10 against all opponents combined; to be competitive this year, they must avoid allowing those losses to carry over into other series. Miami could use any semblance of offensive stability. They entered this weekend ranked 29th in runs scored with one of the worst walk rates and strikeout rates among major-league clubs. Luis Arraez joined this series with an impressive batting line at .424/.482/.535. At present, most of our roster has underperformed severely. On the pitching front, however, they haven’t fared as well, ranking 22nd in ERA entering this weekend. They rank 25th overall in FIP, with their reliever group ranking among the bottom-10 in WAR, ERA, and FIP. Miami will rely on Bryan Hoeing as its starting pitcher in this contest against Chicago; Hoeing hopes to lead his team over them once more. He faced them last week and pitched five innings, giving up only two runs. Hoeing was much better in this start than his only previous one this season, in which he surrendered four runs in just 3.2 innings.

Before these three games, Chicago Cubs had been among the top-10 in runs scored and allowed this season. With those numbers and the National League’s second-best run differential, the Cubs should likely finish over 0.500. Instead, they were just 15-16 entering Friday’s match. While impressive statistics can be impressive, all teams play to win. At the plate, Chicago’s offense is consistently one of the top scorers. They entered Friday’s game ranked among the top ten for batting average, slugging percentage and slugging percentage. They finished fourth in total hits, fifth in stolen bases, ninth in home runs and held MLB’s 10th-lowest strikeout rate. Patrick Wisdom trails only Max Muncy with 11 home runs among major league hitters. On the mound, the Cubs rank top-10 for both walk rate and strikeout rate, and boast one of the fifth-best FIP bullpens in MLB. Chicago’s relievers will support veteran Drew Smyly in this matchup. Smyly suffered an early rough patch but has since gone 30.1 innings without surrendering more than five runs. Two of those starts were victories against the Dodgers’ powerful lineup. He’s been on an excellent roll so far and sports an outstanding 1.53 ERA in three home starts this year. Jacob Stallings should be wary when facing Smyly, as Stallings has taken Smyly deep twice out of six at-bats against him.

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Against the Spread

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 games. Miami are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games. Miami are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games against the Chi Cubs. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing on the road against the Chi Cubs.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Chi Cubs’ last 6 games. The Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Chi Cubs’ last 11 games against Miami. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Chi Cubs’ last 5 games when playing at home against Miami. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’ last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Free Pick

Drew Smyly has had an outstanding start to the season despite facing an offense with limited impact. Bryan Hoeing had an impressive showing against the Cubs last time out but has yet to demonstrate he can lead a team to victory. Chicago boasts both the superior bullpen and offense. According to baseball online experts, the Cubs will win easily against Bryan Hoeing who struggles to lead them towards victory.

Free Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+110)