Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9-9-23 MLB Tips, Prediction, and Analysis

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/9/23 – As September baseball heats up with teams vying for playoff spots, an intriguing National League contest between the Miami Marlins (72-68) and Philadelphia Phillies (77-62) is set for Saturday, September 9th, 6:05 PM ET in Citizens Bank Park with starting pitchers Johnny Cueto for Miami Marlins and Aaron Nola from Phillies scheduled as starters – we hope that this article provides an insightful guide to your baseball picks in this intriguing showdown.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Date & Time: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET 

Location: Citizens Bank Park


Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies 9/9/23 Betting Odds

Marlins+165+1.5 (-122)9 over (-110)
Phillies-180-1.5 (-101)9 under (-110)

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Miami Marlins have been in solid form lately, boasting a batting average of .259 while notching 576 runs, 1235 hits, and 142 homers over their past 141 games. Their on-base percentage sits at .315, and their slugging percentage resides at .404 – impressive numbers demonstrating their potent offense that could cause opponents many problems. Furthermore, their recent form has improved, winning six of seven games, so they should be monitored closely.

Their starting pitcher, Johnny Cueto, holds a 1-3 win-loss record with a 5.54 ERA in 37.1 innings pitched. His WHIP stands at 1.15, having given up 32 hits, 30 strikeouts, and 11 home runs. Clearly, his form leaves a lot to be desired. The 5.54 ERA is concerning and could be the team’s Achilles heel in this matchup. Cueto will need to bring his A-game if the Marlins are to have a shot at pulling off an upset.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

On the other side, the Philadelphia Phillies are showing a solid season, evidenced by their .260 batting average, 678 runs, and 1240 hits. Their slugging percentage (.441) and on-base percentage (.329) are both higher than the Marlins’, indicating a more potent offense. They have also hit a significant number of home runs (184) compared to the Marlins, which gives them the edge in terms of raw power.

As for their starting pitcher, Aaron Nola is 12-9 with a 4.55 ERA, which is not stellar but certainly more palatable than Cueto’s figures. In 172 innings pitched, he has allowed 154 hits, struck out 179, and walked 44, while giving up 30 home runs. Nola’s WHIP is 1.15, mirroring Cueto’s, but his higher strikeout count suggests that he is more likely to get himself out of tight spots.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread

The Marlins have been on an offensive tear recently, with the total going OVER in their last 6 games. Moreover, they are 6-1 straight up (SU) in their last 7 games and 5-1 SU on the road. However, when playing on the road against Philadelphia, the total has typically gone UNDER in 7 of their last 10 matchups. The Phillies are not to be outdone, going 10-5 SU in their last 15 games and 5-1 SU at home. They have an 8-4 SU record against National League opponents and tend to keep the total UNDER when playing Miami at home.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Based on our analysis, here are our recommended picks: 

Moneyline: Phillies -180

Given the Phillies’ stronger offensive stats and home advantage, they are the favorites to win this game. Take Philadelphia at -180.

Spread: Phillies -1.5 (-101)

While the Marlins have been hot, the starting pitching matchup leans toward Philadelphia. I would go with Philadelphia’s spread of -1.5 at -101.

Total: 9 over (-110)

Both teams have had several games where the total has gone OVER, but with both starting pitchers having high ERAs, this game could turn into a slugfest. Pick OVER 9 at -110.

Prediction: 4-7 Philadelphia Phillies win 

This matchup is bound to be an exciting affair, with both teams showing strengths and weaknesses. For those interested in live betting in Canada, this game offers a plethora of opportunities to capitalize on. While the Marlins are in good form, the Phillies’ home advantage and slightly better pitching matchup make them the favorites for this game. Remember to consider the stats, trends, and starting pitchers carefully while making your baseball picks.