Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals 6/18/23 – Miami Marlins will face Washington Nationals in an engaging baseball showdown, emphasizing the significance of baseball betting trends. Jesus Luzardo will lead off for Miami Marlins, while Patrick Corbin will be their starting pitcher.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
Date & Time: Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: MASN
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals 6/18/23 Betting Odds
Marlins
Moneyline: -160
Spread: -1.5 (+105)
Total: 9 over (-110)
Nationals
Moneyline: +130
Spread: +1.5 (-125)
Total: 9 under (-110)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Analysis
The Miami Marlins come into this game boasting an outstanding offensive lineup and consistent performance throughout the year, boasting an average team batting average of 0.256 and creating offense to score runs. Their ability to hit for average has been instrumental to their success thus far, as they have amassed over 280 runs.
Jesus Luzardo has been leading the Marlins on the mound with an outstanding performance as their starting pitcher, providing quality starts while restricting opponents’ scoring opportunities. Boasting an impressive 5-5 win-loss record, Luzardo has proven his competitive nature while keeping them in games.
Luzardo’s pitching stats underscore his worth to the Marlins. Boasting an ERA of 4.17 and WHIP of 1.27, Luzardo has proven himself an effective stopper of opponents’ offensive production in 14 games/starts this season; in doing so, he allowed just 78 hits while striking out an incredible 89 batters; his ability to miss bats and generate strikeouts has been invaluable for their pitching staff.
The Washington Nationals possess a slightly higher team batting average of .261, indicating their ability to hit for average and generate offense. They have scored 286 runs, displaying their ability to put runs on the board and compete with opposing teams.
However, the Nationals will rely on starting pitcher Patrick Corbin to neutralize the Marlins’ offense. Corbin’s performance this season could have been better, leading to some challenges for the Nationals. With a win-loss record of 4-7, Corbin has struggled to deliver quality starts and keep opponents at bay consistently.
Corbin’s pitching statistics reflect his struggles on the mound. Currently sporting an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.54, Corbin has faced difficulties limiting opponents’ offensive production. In his 14 games and starts this season, he has pitched a total of 78.2 innings, allowing 97 hits and striking out 51 batters. Corbin’s ability to miss bats and generate strikeouts has been lower than Luzardo’s, which may impact his effectiveness against the Marlins’ lineup.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Against the Spread
For the Miami Marlins, the over has hit in Jesus Luzardo’s last seven starts after allowing two runs or less in the previous game. The over has also hit in his last seven starts when their opponent scores two runs or less. Additionally, the over has hit in Luzardo’s last seven starts during game 3 of the series. When playing on the road against teams with a losing record, the over has hit in Luzardo’s last five starts.
Conversely, the Washington Nationals have struggled in recent games. The under has hit Patrick Corbin’s last four starts when the total is between 7.0 and 8.5 runs. The Nationals have lost their last seven games when their opponent allows two runs or less. They have also lost their last six games after scoring two runs or less in the previous game. Furthermore, the Nationals have lost their last four home games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5 runs.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick
Based on the betting odds and the team performances, here are the recommended picks:
Moneyline: Marlins -160
The Miami Marlins are favored to win with a moneyline of -160. Given the Marlins’ offensive firepower and Luzardo’s consistent pitching, they are the favored pick to win this game.
Spread: Marlins -1.5 (+105)
Taking the Marlins on the spread at -1.5 (+105) is a favorable choice. Their offense has the potential to score runs against Corbin, and Luzardo’s solid performances can keep the game within a comfortable margin.
Total: 9 over (-110)
Considering the offensive capabilities of both teams, the over 9 total runs present an enticing option. Both offenses have shown the ability to put runs on the board, and Luzardo’s recent trends suggest a high-scoring game.
Prediction: 3-5 Miami Marlins win
In this intriguing matchup, the Miami Marlins hold the edge with their productive offense and consistent starting pitcher, Jesus Luzardo. While possessing offensive firepower, the Washington Nationals need help with Patrick Corbin’s recent struggles. Analyzing the betting trends, it is advisable to consider the moneyline, spread, and total when making your wagers. As baseball betting experts would suggest, conduct thorough research, factor in the team performances, and exercise responsible gambling practices when placing your bets.
