Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays 6-1-23 MLB Analysis, Odds, and Picks

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays 6/1/23 – On Thursday, at Rogers Centre in Toronto, the Milwaukee Brewers will square off against the Toronto Blue Jays under Freddy Peralta and Kevin Gausman as pitchers and will be broadcasted live by ESP+. With both teams striving to gain an advantage in this encounter, let’s analyze the latest MLB betting odds, trends, and team statistics to make informed picks for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Date & Time: Thursday, June 1, 2023 at 1:07 PM ET

Location: Rogers Centre


Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays 6/1/23 Betting Odds


Moneyline: +177

Spread: +1.5 (-117)

Total: 8.5 over (-110)

Blue Jays

Moneyline: -193

Spread: -1.5 (-103)

Total: 8.5 under (-110)

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers enter this matchup with a batting average of 0.231, indicating a slightly below-average offensive performance this season. However, they have scored 216 runs and hit 64 home runs, showcasing their ability to generate power when needed. 

Leading the charge for the Brewers is starting pitcher Freddy Peralta, who will take the mound in this game. Peralta has shown glimpses of brilliance with a record of 5-4. While his earned run average of 4.64 may not be the most impressive, he has managed to keep the team in games and deliver quality starts. With walks plus hits per inning pitched of 1.42, Peralta has demonstrated decent control on the mound, although there is room for improvement. In his ten games started, he pitched 54.1 innings, allowing 54 hits, 34 runs (28 earned), and eight home runs. Peralta’s ability to strike out batters, evident from his 58 strikeouts, adds to his value as a critical asset for the Brewers’ pitching staff. While the Brewers’ offense may have room for improvement, Peralta’s performances on the mound give the team a fighting chance in this matchup.

The Toronto Blue Jays boast a more formidable offense with a batting average (AVG) of 0.266, indicating a solid ability to make consistent contact and find gaps in opposing defenses. Their offensive prowess is evident in their 264 runs scored, and 62 home runs hit this season. 

Spearheading their lineup is starting pitcher Kevin Gausman, who possesses a solid record of 3-3. Gausman’s earned run average of 3.03 showcases his ability to limit opposing teams’ scoring opportunities. Gausman has demonstrated excellent control on the mound with a walk plus hits per inning pitched of 1.13, minimizing baserunners. In his 11 games started, he has logged 68.1 innings, allowing 61 hits, 28 runs (23 earned), and six home runs. Gausman’s striking 89 batters adds an additional dimension to his effectiveness, as he can neutralize opponents with his ability to generate swings and misses. The Blue Jays’ robust offense, combined with Gausman’s consistency and strong pitching performances, positions them as formidable contenders in this game.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Against the Spread

For the Milwaukee Brewers, the over has hit in Freddy Peralta’s last four starts overall, indicating a tendency for higher-scoring games when he takes the mound. Additionally, in his previous eight starts with a total set between 7.0 and 8.5, the over has hit six times, suggesting a likelihood of increased run production. The Brewers have also shown success on Thursdays, winning their last five games when Peralta starts that day. However, when the total is set at 11.0 or higher, the Brewers have struggled, losing their previous five games in such situations and their last five road games with a total set at 11.0 or higher.

For the Toronto Blue Jays, Kevin Gausman has seen the overhit in his last four Thursday starts, indicating a trend of higher-scoring games on that day. The Blue Jays have also performed well on astroturf, with the over-hitting in their last seven games played on this surface. In Gausman’s home starts with a total set between 7.0 and 8.5, the over has hit in his previous four outings, while the under has hit in his previous four home starts with a total set between 9.0 and 10.5. It is worth noting that the Blue Jays have struggled on Thursdays, losing their last four games played on this day.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Based on the analysis and betting trends, we predict a close-contested contest. Taking these predictions into consideration, here are our recommended picks based on the odds and teams performance:

Moneyline: Blue Jays (-193) 

Considering the moneyline odds, the Toronto Blue Jays are favored to win this game. With their more potent offense and Gausman’s impressive pitching, they will likely emerge victorious.

Spread: Brewers +1.5 (-117)

The Milwaukee Brewers have a handicap advantage of 1.5 runs. Considering their recent performance and Peralta’s ability to keep games close, we suggest betting on the Brewers with the spread.

Total: 8.5 over (-110)

With the total set at 8.5, we recommend taking the over (-110). Both teams possess potent offenses, and the recent trends indicate a higher-scoring game.

Prediction: 4-6 Toronto Blue Jays win

As the Milwaukee Brewers and Toronto Blue Jays clash in this MLB matchup, the odds, team analysis, and recent MLB betting trends provide valuable insights for making informed picks. Considering the odds, we predict a final score of Brewers 4 – Blue Jays 6. While the Blue Jays are favored to win, betting on the Brewers with the spread or taking the over on the total runs scored could present profitable opportunities. Remember to gamble responsibly and enjoy the game.