Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos 11-19-23 NFL Week 11 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos 11/19/23 – As the NFL season heats up, Week 11 between Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos on November 19 is sure to draw plenty of eyeballs. Minnesota are currently at 6-4 while Denver have only managed two wins over five, so this showdown at Empower Field at Mile High should provide both teams a welcome boost. Scheduled for prime-time broadcast on NBC this game should both thrill fans and bettors as well as provide daily NFL free picks of the choice team.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos

Date & Time: Sunday, November 19, 2023, at 8:20 PM ET

Location: Empower Field at Mile High

TV: NBC

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos 11/19/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Vikings+120+2.5 (-102)43.5 over (-115)
Broncos-140-2.5 (-120)43.5 under (-108)

Minnesota Vikings Analysis

Offensively, the Minnesota Vikings have shown impressive consistency this season. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has been an reliable presence with an outstanding 69.5% completion rate, 2331 passing yards, and 18 touchdowns to his name. Wide receiver Jordan Addison has been particularly productive, amassing 603 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns himself. Alexander Mattison led their running game which averages only 3.5 yards per rush attempt on average; to beat Denver Broncos they will need to use both passing strength while improving efficiency in their running game as they have done before.

Defense wise, the Vikings could make great strides. Although their record indicates success, their defense has shown vulnerability against strong passing teams. To secure a win against Denver, the Vikings must tighten secondary coverage and put pressure on quarterback Russell Wilson of Denver while keeping their run game under control.

Denver Broncos Analysis

Denver’s offense under Russell Wilson has had some spectacular moments but struggles for consistency. Wilson’s 66.1% completion rate and 16 touchdowns are laudable, yet the team has been unable to turn them into wins. Courtland Sutton will play an integral part in this matchup as will Javonte Williams (average 4 yards per rush). To overcome Minnesota’s defense effectively and find victory.

Denver’s defense has been more reliable than its offense, but facing off against an elite Vikings passing team presents unique challenges for their defense. Denver will need to limit Cousins’ options and disrupt his rhythm as much as possible; an effective pass rush and tight coverage in the secondary could be key factors here.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos Against the Spread

The Minnesota Vikings have been impressive against the spread (ATS), going 5-0 in their last 5 games. Their ability to cover spreads, especially on the road (5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games), makes them a strong contender in this matchup. However, their track record in Denver (2-4 SU in their last 6 games at Denver) is a point of concern.

On the other hand, the Denver Broncos have been less consistent ATS, especially at home (2-4 ATS in their last 6 home games). However, they have a historical edge against the Vikings at home (4-2 SU in their last 6 home games against Minnesota). Additionally, the total has tended to go OVER in Denver’s games against NFC North opponents, which could influence betting on the total.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: Vikings +120

The Vikings’ strong offensive capabilities and recent form give them the edge in this matchup.

Spread: Vikings +2.5 (-102) 

Given the Vikings’ recent ATS performance and the Broncos’ inconsistencies, Minnesota covering the spread is a likely scenario.

Total: 43.5 over (-115)

Both teams have capable offenses and a trend towards higher-scoring games, making the over a compelling choice.

Predicted Score: Minnesota Vikings 27, Denver Broncos 24

The Minnesota Vikings seem like the safer bet in this matchup, given their track record against the spread (ATS) and offensive strength. Although Denver Broncos possess home field advantage and strong defense, their momentum could make all the difference for Minnesota’s aerial prowess and momentum – bettors using Canadian online sportsbooks may wish to focus their wagering strategy on Minnesota covering the spread as their prime bet while anticipating that game total goes over shortly afterwards..