Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 9-30-23 NCAAF Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 9/30/23 – In Week 5 of the NCAAF season, an intriguing matchup is on the horizon as the undefeated Missouri Tigers (4-0) look to extend their winning streak against the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3). The upcoming game offers insights into both teams’ trajectories this season, making it a vital fixture for enthusiasts browsing the latest college football picks.

Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Date & Time: Saturday, September 30, 2023, at 4:00 PM ET

Location: FirstBank Stadium


Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores 9/30/23 Betting Odds

Missouri Tigers-475-13 (-118)55 over (-105)
Vanderbilt Commodores+385+13 (-102)55 under (-115)

Missouri Tigers Analysis

The Missouri Tigers have undoubtedly become an offensive juggernaut this season. Quarterback Brady Cook has been in sublime form, displaying both accuracy and arm strength, evident from his 72% completion rate and impressive 1073 passing yards. His long throws have consistently found their mark, turning potential risks into game-changing plays. Alongside Cook, Cody Schrader’s dynamism in the backfield provides a dual-threat capability. Averaging 6.2 yards per rush, Schrader has been instrumental in diversifying the Tigers’ offensive plays, ensuring they aren’t too predictable and providing a reliable alternative when passing options seem limited.

Defensively, Missouri remains somewhat of an enigma. While their record suggests dominance, there have been instances where their defense has shown cracks, particularly in the secondary. Against Vanderbilt, their primary concern would be handling quick throws and ensuring that their linebackers can plug any gaps against the run. Their defensive line will have to be aggressive, putting pressure on Vanderbilt’s QB, Swann, and forcing him into making errors.

Vanderbilt Commodores Analysis

Vanderbilt, though not enjoying the same dominant season as their counterparts, have moments of brilliance to inspire hope. Their offensive strategies, led by QB AJ Swann, have been a blend of long throws and steady rushes. Swann’s commendable 1290 passing yards show his capability, but his interception count reveals a tendency to buckle under pressure. Alongside Swann, Patrick Smith in the backfield has been consistent but will need to up his game further to challenge the Tigers’ defensive line. Smith’s breakaway speed and ability to find gaps can prove to be a secret weapon if utilized effectively.

On the defensive front, Vanderbilt faces an uphill task. Their recent games show susceptibility to both the run and the pass. The secondary, in particular, needs to step up, ensuring that they can handle deep threats, given Missouri’s penchant for long throws. The linebackers will play a crucial role in stopping Schrader and should be prepared for potential play-action scenarios. The defensive line should focus on pressuring Cook, disrupting his rhythm, and preventing him from setting his feet.

Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Against the Spread

Missouri’s betting trends indicate a team that’s performing well but has struggled against the spread when playing Vanderbilt, with a 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Commodores. Despite this, their 6-1 SU in recent matchups and an over tendency in 6 of their last 8 games suggest a high-scoring game.

On the other hand, Vanderbilt has had its challenges, particularly with a 0-6 ATS in their last six games. Their recent record of 4-9 SU in their past 13 games, combined with a 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games, indicates the odds are stacked against them. However, with a tendency for the total to go under in games against Missouri, bettors may anticipate a tighter contest.

Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Free Pick

Considering the odds, trends, team stats, and key players:

Moneyline: Missouri -475 

Given the Missouri Tigers’ undefeated streak and the all-round performance, Missouri stands as the clear favorite.

Spread: Missouri -13 (-118)

The Tigers’ offensive might, combined with Vanderbilt’s defensive struggles, makes this a safe bet.

Total: 55 over (-105) 

Given both teams’ offensive strengths and recent trends, this game could very well be a high-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 38, Vanderbilt Commodores 20

In conclusion, while the Missouri Tigers enter the game as favorites, the Vanderbilt Commodores have the potential to turn the tables. It promises to be an electric contest with both teams having a lot at stake. For those seeking to capitalize on this game, browsing Canadian betting sites might offer further insights and enhance the game-watching experience.