Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs 10-21-23 NCAAF Week 8 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs 10/21/23 – The upcoming NCAAF game between the struggling Nevada Wolf Pack (0-6) and the somewhat steadier San Diego State Aztecs (3-4) promises to be an interesting match-up, given the form and performance of both teams. As the season progresses, this Week 8 fixture holds the key for both teams to change their fortunes. Dive deep into our analysis and get the most insightful NCAAF free betting picks for this game.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Date & Time: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET

Location: Snapdragon Stadium


Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs 10/21/23 Betting Odds

Nevada +395+13.5 (-110)48 over (-115)
San Diego State-500-13.5 (-110)48 under (-105)

Nevada Wolf Pack Analysis

Offensively, the Nevada Wolf Pack has seen some glimpses of promise despite the overall bleak season record. Quarterback Brendon Lewis has accumulated 907 passing yards, with a longest pass of 73 yards highlighting his potential deep-ball ability. The contribution of Sean Dollars in the rushing department and Jamaal Bell in the receiving end has added depth to their offensive playbook. Dollars, with 3 rushing touchdowns, offers a ground-and-pound style, while Bell, boasting a long reception of 77 yards, provides the deep threat on aerial plays. However, the team’s lackluster 57.9% completion percentage and Lewis’s 6 interceptions underline the pressing need for consistency and reduction in turnovers.

Defensively, the Wolf Pack seems to be struggling more than on the offensive front. The key issue lies in their inability to protect their quarterback, evidenced by the 15 total sacks leading to a loss of 93 yards. Such vulnerabilities in their offensive line not only reduce their attacking opportunities but also put immense pressure on their defense by conceding field position. Their away record and previous matchups with the Aztecs suggest that the Wolf Pack will have to address these defensive lapses to ensure they stand a chance in the upcoming game.

San Diego State Aztecs Analysis

The San Diego State Aztecs bring a more balanced offensive attack to the table. Quarterback Jalen Mayden, with 1285 passing yards and a 62.9% completion rate, has showcased his ability to distribute the ball efficiently. Furthermore, Mayden’s dual-threat capability is evident in his rushing stats, racking up 348 yards on the ground. His partnership with wide receiver Mekhi Shaw has been a highlight for the team, with Shaw averaging an imposing 15.3 yards per catch, proving his capacity to produce big plays when targeted.

On the defensive side of things, the Aztecs need to address their recent form, especially when playing at home. Historically, Snapdragon Stadium has been a stronghold, but the recent dip in their home game performances hints at some defensive vulnerabilities. For the Aztecs to maintain their home dominance against the Wolf Pack, their defense will need to step up, minimize turnovers, and ensure they don’t give away easy yards. The key will be to control the tempo of the game and keep the Wolf Pack’s offensive playmakers in check.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs Against the Spread

Nevada’s betting trends do not paint a pretty picture. With a 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games and being 0-10 SU in their last 10 games, it indicates their struggle to match bettor’s expectations. However, a surprising 4-1 ATS against the Aztecs provides a glimmer of hope for Wolf Pack backers.

Conversely, San Diego State, despite their better record, have faced their own betting struggles. Their recent form, being 1-4 SU in their last 5 games, suggests they might be a risky proposition. However, a dominating 6-0 SU when playing at home against Nevada is a statistic that cannot be ignored.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs Free Pick

Based on odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are the picks:

Moneyline: San Diego State -500

Given the San Diego State Aztecs’ superior head-to-head record and playing at home, the Aztecs seem the safer bet.

Spread: San Diego State -13.5 (-110) 

Despite Nevada’s ATS record against the Aztecs, San Diego State’s home dominance over Nevada suggests they can cover the spread.

Total: 48 under (-105)

Given the recent form and performances of both teams, a low-scoring affair seems more likely.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 28, Nevada Wolf Pack 10

To conclude, while both teams have their challenges, the San Diego State Aztecs seem to hold the upper hand, especially given their historical performance against the Wolf Pack at Snapdragon Stadium. For those looking to place their bets, checking out the Best Sportsbook in Canada would be a prudent decision, ensuring the most competitive odds and insights.