New England Patriots vs. New York Giants 11-26-23 NFL Week 12 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants 11/26/23 – In Week 12 of the NFL season, both struggling New England Patriots (2-8) and New York Giants (3-8) will meet up in an important game that is vital to both sides’ morale. Set to take place this Sunday at MetLife Stadium with live coverage by FOX, this matchup promises both intense on-field combat as well as opportunities for NFL betting picks; both sides seek to improve their disappointing win-loss records by beating one another.

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants

Date & Time: Sunday, November 26, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET

Location: MetLife Stadium


New England Patriots vs. New York Giants 11/26/23 Betting Odds

Patriots-180-3.5 (-107)33.5 over (-108)
Giants+160+3.5 (-113)33.5 under (-112)

New England Patriots Analysis

The New England Patriots’ offensive line-up has been an uneven one this season. Quarterback Mac Jones‘ completion percentage remains respectable but his interception count indicates potential issues under pressure; yet his average of 203.1 passing yards per game combined with 10 touchdowns suggests unrealized potential. Rhamondre Stevenson leads their ground game which hasn’t been particularly spectacular but remains crucial; with 482 rushing yards averaged at an impressive average 3.8 yards per attempt and Kendrick Bourne emerging as an integral member of their receiving corps offering reliable performance as well as playmaking abilities.

Defensively, the Patriots have had difficulty establishing dominance this season. Their inability to consistently pressure quarterbacks and poor run defense have been apparent in recent performances; this frailty likely contributed to their recent 1-6 ATS record in 7 games. To overcome their struggles against the Giants and turn around their fortunes against Saquon Barkley’s run game will require disrupting Daniel Jones’ rhythm while stopping Saquon Barkley from running it himself; defensive line and linebacker performances must improve by increasing pass rushing/tackling action while improving secondary play will also play an integral part in stopping big plays from happening this season.

New York Giants Analysis

On offense, the New York Giants have shown flashes of promise but overall have struggled for consistency. Daniel Jones has shown efficiency without particularly noteworthy touchdown numbers or yardage totals. Assuming their offensive line can address this vulnerability to sacks, Saquon Barkley has become the real star on offense with his ability to bring dynamism to their ground game. Fletcher has been instrumental in breaking for significant gains, which will be essential against the Patriots’ struggling run defense. Darius Slayton has been reliable as a receiver, but they need more explosive playmaking from their wideouts in order to stretch out the Patriots and open scoring opportunities.

The Giants’ defense has been more reliable than their offense, yet still has room to improve. Pressure on quarterback Eli Manning and turnover creation will be essential against Tom Brady and Co.; to limit running game usage while forcing Jones into making plays through the air while capitalizing on any mistakes he might make.

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants Against the Spread

The Patriots have struggled against the spread lately, going 1-6 ATS over their past seven games and 1-5 against spread in six road games. Their inability to cover spreads can be traced to an inconsistent offense and poor defense.

On the other side of things, the Giants are 3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 games, suggesting difficulty beating it as well. They have shown slightly better success at home though and could potentially challenge the Patriots in this matchup.

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants Free Pick

Based on the odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are our picks:

Moneyline: Giants +160

Despite their records, the Giants have shown more potential at home, and the Patriots’ struggles on the road tilt the scales slightly in favor of New York.

Spread: Giants +3.5 (-113) 

Given both teams’ difficulties in beating the spread, the safer bet is on the Giants with the points at home.

Total: 33.5 under (+112)

Both teams have a tendency to go under, especially in recent games, making this a more reliable pick.

Predicted Score: New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14

As both teams have struggled to produce high-scoring games consistently, betting on an under total might be your most reliable bet in this NFL Week 12 matchup. While high-flying offensive showcases tend to happen more often than defensive showstopper, so those seeking the best betting sites in Canada should carefully consider these trends and odds when placing bets on this contest.