New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 11-26-23 NFL Week 12 Analysis, Best Picks, and Odds

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 11/26/23 – At the Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET, both New Orleans Saints (5-5) and Atlanta Falcons (4-6) face-off in what promises to be an intense rivalry matchup for NFL Week 12 predictions and picks alike. FOX broadcasting guarantees maximum viewership, creating interesting picking scenarios of these teams who have experienced various degrees of success throughout their respective seasons.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons

Date & Time: Sunday, November 26, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

TV: FOX

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 11/26/23 Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Saints-110+0.5 -11041.5 over (-111)
Falcons -110-0.5 -11241.5 under (-111)

New Orleans Saints Analysis

Offensively, the Saints have shown both consistency and promise under Derek Carr‘s leadership. Carr has completed 65.9% of his passes for 2231 yards at an 89.8 passer rating; showing reliability with an arm that consistently performs. However, their average passing yardage suggests more explosive plays are needed downfield. Alvin Kamara has been an invaluable part of their running back corps but his average of 3.7 yards per rush suggests there is room for growth in their run game. Chris Olave has led an effective receiving unit, amassing 657 receiving yards to demonstrate his effectiveness as a playmaker. To secure victory against Atlanta Falcons defense and achieve victory. Saints offense must capitalize on its strengths while exploiting any weaknesses.

New Orleans has displayed both resilience and inconsistency on defense. Their ability to limit opposing offenses will be key, especially against Atlanta’s run game. Their defensive unit should focus on pressuring quarterback Desmond Ridder with their pass rush in order to create turnovers and disrupt Atlanta’s offensive rhythm; their secondary may play a decisive role as they guard Atlanta receivers; for New Orleans to prevail victorious, an evenly balanced and disciplined defensive effort is key.

Atlanta Falcons Analysis

Desmond Ridder has led the Falcons’ offense through an ongoing work-in-progress process. While his 65.4% completion rate and 1740 passing yards show promise, more touchdowns and fewer interceptions would strengthen its offensive impact. Bijan Robinson stood out in terms of his 4.9 yards per rush average and 474 receiving yards, respectively; Drake London served as an essential target. In order to counter the Saints defense effectively, Atlanta must enhance their offensive coordination by protecting Ridder while creating opportunities for playmakers within their unit.

Atlanta will face the formidable task of stopping an explosive Saints offense. Their primary focus should be limiting Carr’s passing game while also keeping Kamara from reaching her potential on the ground. Their defensive line and linebackers need to apply pressure effectively and tackle efficiently while their secondary will need to control Olave and other Saints receivers for effective aerial threat control. Adherence to disciplined yet strategic defense tactics will be vital if Atlanta wishes to secure a home victory against New Orleans.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Against the Spread

The Saints have struggled against the spread, going 1-4 ATS over their last five games. Uneven offensive output and defensive slip-ups have contributed to this 1-4 mark against them ATS.

Conversely, the Falcons have struggled against the spread lately as well, posting an 1-8 record over their past nine games. Both trends indicate an intense matchup that must address each team’s weaknesses to cover the spread.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Free Pick

Based on the odds, trends, team stats, and key players, here are our picks:

Moneyline: Saints -110

The Saints’ slightly more consistent performance, especially against Atlanta historically, gives them a slight edge in this matchup.

Spread: Saints +0.5 (-110)

Given the close nature of the game, taking the Saints with the half-point advantage seems the safer bet.

Total: 41.5 under (-111)

Both teams have shown trends towards lower-scoring games, making the under a more appealing choice.

Predicted Score: New Orleans Saints 21, 17 Atlanta Falcons 17

Overall, it appears the safest bet is an under on total considering both teams’ defensive strengths and offensive inconsistencies. This game may not feature high scoring but more likely be an intense contest between two closely matched sides; those betting online sportsbooks in Canada should take these insights and odds into consideration for making informed wagers in this NFL Week 12 matchup.